盛夏期间不同路径东北冷涡的分型及对我国气候的影响OA
Classification and climatic impacts of Northeast Cold Vortex with different tracks during July-August
本文利用 1980-2024 年 ERA5(European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5)和 CPC(Climate Precipitation Center)资料,基于改进的客观识别算法与 K-means 聚类方法将盛夏期间东北冷涡路径客观划分为6 类:类型Ⅰ长距离东移型、类型Ⅱ中部局地型、类型Ⅲ中部东移型、类型Ⅳ北部型、类型Ⅴ东南型和类型Ⅵ东北型,并探讨了这六类路径冷涡的时空特征、大气环流背景及气候影响.结果表明:不同路径东北冷涡在中心位置、冷涡强度和生命周期等方面具有显著区别.西太平洋副热带高压和高空急流的配置与冷涡类型密切相关,类型Ⅰ、Ⅲ对应副高脊线接近气候态;类型Ⅳ副高强度偏弱、脊线偏南;其他类型则伴随副高东退.多数类型冷涡对应的高空急流在东亚上空连续,而类型Ⅳ、Ⅴ对应的急流在日本海附近出现断裂.东北冷涡活动受10~30 d 次季节尺度波列调控,六类路径东北冷涡的次季节环流演变可分为东传或东南传波列、北传偶极子和南传偶极子3 种.第一、三种分别对应稳定东移和短生命周期冷涡的生成与移动,而第二种对应的冷涡路径复杂多变.不同路径东北冷涡对我国东北地区降水与气温的影响呈显著差异,其中类型Ⅰ、Ⅲ能够同时引起东北地区大范围的降水偏多和降温,类型Ⅳ主要造成该地区北部降水偏多,而类型Ⅵ主要造成该地区北部和东北部降温.
Based on ERA5 and CPC data from 1980 to 2024,this study employed an improved objective identification algorithm combined with the K-means clustering method to objectively classify the tracks of Northeast Cold Vortices(NECVs)during mid-summer(July-August)into six types:Type Ⅰ:eastward long-distance movement,Type Ⅱ:central localized,Type Ⅲ:central eastward movement,Type Ⅳ:northern,Type Ⅴ:southeastern,and Type Ⅵ:northeastern.This study investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics,atmospheric circulation patterns,and climatic impacts associated with these six vortex track types.Results indicate that NECVs of different track types exhibit significant distinctions in terms of vortex center location,intensity,and life cycle.The configurations of the Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH)and the upper-level jet stream are closely related to the NECV types.Types Ⅰ and Ⅲ are associated with a subtropical high ridge line close to its climatic mean.Type Ⅳcorresponds to a weaker WPSH with a southward-displaced ridge line,while other types coincide with an eastward retreat of the WPSH.The upper-level jet stream is continuous over East Asia for most NECV types;however,it exhibits a break near the Sea of Japan for Types Ⅳ and Ⅴ.NECV activity is modulated by 10-30 day subseasonal-scale wave trains.The subseasonal circulation evolution associated with the six NECV track types can be categorized into three patterns:eastward-or southeastward-propagating wave trains,northward-propagating dipoles,and southward-propagating dipoles.The first and third patterns correspond to the generation and movement of NECVs characterized by stable eastward progression and short life cycles,respectively,while the second pattern corresponds to more complex and variable NECV tracks.The impacts of different NECV track types on precipitation and temperature in Northeast China show significant variations.Specifically,Types Ⅰ and Ⅲ can simultaneously cause extensive above-normal precipitation and cooling across Northeast China;Type Ⅳ mainly causes above-normal precipitation in the northern part of the region,while Type Ⅵ mainly causes cooling in the northern and northeastern parts.
陈石;任雪娟
南京大学 中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室/大气科学学院,南京 210023南京大学 中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室/大气科学学院,南京 210023
天文与地球科学
东北冷涡路径分型次季节异常气候影响
Northeast Cold Vortextrack classificationsubseasonal anomalyclimatic impact
《气象科学》 2026 (4)
317-330,14
国家自然科学基金资助项目(U244220942175021)
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