基于通用陆面模式的道路模式研发及性能检验OA
Development and performance evaluation of a road model based on the common land model
为提升道路气象状况的模拟与预报能力,本文基于通用陆面模式(Common Land Model,CoLM),结合道路下垫面的热物理特性,构建了一套用于模拟道路热力与水文过程的数值模式.采用法国 Col de Porte 实验站1998 年11 月至1999 年4 月的观测数据,对模式进行驱动与验证,评估了模式的敏感性,并进行了典型事件分析、长期模拟分析及统计分析.结果表明,初始参数设置具有良好的物理合理性与模拟稳定性,模式在多种气象条件下对路面温度和积雪深度的模拟效果较为理想.典型事件分析显示,模式能准确再现降雪初期的积雪累积过程;但在自然融雪阶段,由于未考虑横向热通量交换,模拟存在一定偏差.长期模拟结果表明,模式能有效反映冬、春季路面温度日变化趋势及积雪演变过程.模式在无积雪覆盖条件下拟合效果较好,而在有积雪的冬季路况中存在系统性温度低估.本研究所构建的道路模式能合理模拟道路气象条件,且适用性强,具备在业务化交通气象预报中推广应用的潜力.
To improve the simulation and forecasting of road meteorological conditions,this study developed a numerical model for road thermal and hydrological processes by integrating road surface thermophysical properties into the Common Land Model(CoLM).The model was forced and validated by using observational data from the Col de Porte experimental site in France(November 1998 to April 1999).Comprehensive evaluations were conducted via sensitivity experiments,case studies of typical events,long-term simulations,and statistical error analysis.Results demonstrate that the initial parameterization is physically sound and computationally stable.The model performs well in simulating road surface temperature and snow depth across diverse meteorological conditions.Case studies indicate that while the model accurately reproduces snow accumulation during early snowfall,deviations occur during natural melt phases,likely due to the omission of lateral heat flux exchange.Long-term simulations further confirm the model's proficiency in capturing diurnal temperature variations and the evolution of winter/spring snow cover.Statistical analysis reveals higher accuracy under snow-free conditions,whereas a systematic cold bias persists in snow-covered winter scenarios.Overall,the proposed road model exhibits robust simulation capabilities and strong applicability for operational traffic weather forecasting.
金子;李显祥;袁华;张树鹏;魏楠;戴永久
中山大学 大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519000中山大学 大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519000中山大学 大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519000中山大学 大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519000中山大学 大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519000中山大学 大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519000
交通工程
通用陆面模式道路气象模式路面温度积雪模拟交通气象
CoLMroad weather modelroad surface temperaturesnow depth simulationtraffic meteorology
《气象科学》 2026 (4)
307-316,10
广东省基础与应用基础研究重大项目(2021B0301030007)国家自然科学基金资助项目(U244260142575175)
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