长三角城市群生态系统服务与经济高质量发展的耦合协调机制OACHSSCD
Analysis of coupling coordination between ecosystem services and high-quality economic development in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration
长三角城市群作为我国经济体量最雄厚、开放程度最高、创新能力最强的战略区域之一,肩负推动经济高质量发展和实现生态环境根本好转的双重使命,探明生态系统服务与经济高质量发展的内在联系,可为区域绿色低碳循环发展提供科学依据.以长三角城市群为研究对象,综合运用InVEST模型、熵权法、耦合协调度、Dagum基尼系数、Kernel核密度估计、空间自相关及空间杜宾模型考察分析2005-2020年研究区生态系统服务与经济高质量发展的演变规律,重点探究二者耦合协调关系的时空特征及驱动机制.结果表明:(1)2005-2020年长三角城市群生态系统服务指数和经济高质量发展指数均保持积极的增长态势,而生态系统服务指数的总增长率低于经济高质量发展指数的总增长率;(2)2005-2020年长三角城市群生态系统服务与经济高质量发展耦合协调度稳定上升,研究期内全部城市均脱离中度失调状态,部分已实现初级协调;(3)耦合协调度的总体差异先扩大后缩小,区域间及区域内耦合协调发展的不平衡问题亟待解决;(4)环境规制、人力资本水平、城镇化水平、人口密度及绿色权益交易对本地区生态系统服务与经济高质量发展的耦合协调度均具有显著的正向直接促进作用,且对耦合协调度具有显著的空间溢出效应,不仅推动本地耦合协调水平跃升,更通过技术扩散和市场整合带动邻近地区耦合协调度的协同提升.将生态系统服务与经济高质量发展纳入耦合框架,通过耦合协调度的动态演变趋势分析,科学识别长三角内部不同地区的发展优势和短板,进而指导区域空间规划、资源要素合理配置,为区域高质量协同发展、打造人与自然和谐共生样板提供科学依据.
As one of China's strategic regions with the strongest economic base,the highest level of openness,and the most robust innovative capacity,the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration shoulders the dual missions of promoting high-quality economic development and fundamentally enhancing environmental quality.Examining the intrinsic relationship between ecosystem services(ES)and high-quality economic development(HQED)can provide a scientific foundation for the region's green and low-carbon circular economic growth.Employing the Yangtze River Delta as the study area,this study comprehensively applied methodologies including the In VEST model,entropy weight method,coupling coordination degree analysis,Dagum Gini coefficient,kernel density estimation,spatial auto-correlation model and spatial Durbin model to examine the trends of ES and HQED from 2005 to 2020,with particular emphasis on characterizing the spatiotemporal dynamics and elucidating the driving mechanisms underlying their coupling coordination relationship.The results show that:(1)From 2005 to 2020,both the ES index and the HQED index in the Yangtze River Delta maintained a positive growth trajectory,although the total growth rate of the ES index was lower than that of the HQED index;(2)The coupling coordination degree between ES and HQED within the Yangtze River Delta from 2005 to 2020 has steadily increased,with all cities were out of the moderate discoordination,and some of them have already achieved primary by the end of the study period;(3)The Gini coefficient first rises and then falls,indicating that the overall difference of the coupling coordination degree widened initially and narrowed subsequently,highlighting an urgent need to address inter-and intraregional imbalances.(4)Environmental regulation,human capital level,urbanization level,population density and green equity trading all exert statistically significant positive direct effects on the local coupling coordination degree between ES and HQED,and generate significant positive spatial spillovers.These factors not only propel the local coupling coordination level to leap forward,but also drive the synergistic enhancement of coupling coordination level in neighboring regions through technology diffusion and market integration.By taking ES as the entry point and integrating it with HQED into a unified analytical framework,this study traces the spatiotemporal evolution of their coupling coordination.It scientifically identifies strengths and weaknesses of different regions across the Yangtze River Delta,and thereby guiding regional spatial planning and the rational allocation of resources,provides a scientific basis for high-quality regional coordinated development and for creating a model of harmonious coexistence between humans and nature.
宋青;张凯波;陈骏宇
苏州科技大学商学院,苏州 215009苏州科技大学商学院,苏州 215009苏州科技大学商学院,苏州 215009||天津大学管理与经济学部,天津 300072
长三角城市群生态系统服务经济高质量发展耦合协调度空间杜宾模型
the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerationecosystem serviceshigh-quality economic developmentcoupling coordination degreespatial Durbin model
《生态学报》 2026 (15)
7936-7955,20
江苏省社科应用研究重大课题(24WTA-011)国家自然科学基金项目(72404204)
评论