首页|期刊导航|水力发电|融合节点边际电价和t分布的新能源发电项目全生命周期市场化电价测算方法研究

融合节点边际电价和t分布的新能源发电项目全生命周期市场化电价测算方法研究OA

Market-oriented Electricity Price Calculating Method for the Whole Life Cycle of Renewable Energy Projects Integrating Locational Marginal Price and t-distribution Method

中文摘要英文摘要

新能源市场化新政出台后,项目投资决策逻辑发生重大变化.本文结合最新政策形势,针对新能源综合上网电价难以科学测算的行业痛点,提出了融合节点边际电价和 t 分布的新能源发电项目全生命周期市场化电价测算方法,利用节点边际电价理论、t 分布、场景化建模依次进行电力现货、中长期、机制电价预测,同时结合"两个细则"等费用分摊及绿色环境溢价得出项目运营期综合电价,并结合某典型风电项目算例验证了测算方法的有效性.

After the introduction of the new market-oriented policies for renewable energy,the logic of project investment decision-making has undergone a major transformation.Against the backdrop of the latest policy developments and aiming to address the prominent industry challenge of the difficulty in scientifically measuring the comprehensive grid-connected electricity price of new energy,this paper proposes a market-oriented electricity price measurement method for the whole life cycle of new energy power generation projects that integrates locational marginal price and t-distribution.By applying the locational marginal price theory,t-distribution and scenario-based modeling,the method sequentially forecasts the electricity prices in the spot market,medium and long-term market,as well as the mechanism-based electricity price.Meanwhile,it calculates the comprehensive electricity price during the project operation period by incorporating the cost allocation under the Two Detailed Rules and the green environmental premium.The effectiveness of the proposed measurement method is verified by a case study of a typical wind power project.

魏景东;邱辰;辛颂旭;郭雁珩;冯泽深

水电水利规划设计总院,北京 100120水电水利规划设计总院,北京 100120水电水利规划设计总院,北京 100120水电水利规划设计总院,北京 100120水电水利规划设计总院,北京 100120

建筑与水利

新能源发电电力市场节点边际电价t分布机制电价投资决策

renewable energy power generationelectricity marketlocational marginal pricet-distribution methodmechanism priceinvestment decision

《水力发电》 2026 (9)

71-76,85,7

评论