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太湖鹅产蛋率和累计产蛋数曲线拟合分析OA

Curve Fitting Analysis of Egg Production Rate and Cumulative Egg Production in Taihu Goose

中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]探究太湖鹅的产蛋性能及规律,筛选出最佳的产蛋曲线拟合模型.[方法]对太湖鹅选育基础群,记录从24周龄开产到62周龄时的产蛋情况,并将产蛋率和累计产蛋数进行统计,运用拟合模型对太湖鹅的产蛋率(伍德模型、杨宁模型、分室模型和三次方程)和累计产蛋数(Gompertz、Logistic和Von Bertalanffy)进行拟合分析,并与实际观测值进行比较.[结果]杨宁模型对太湖鹅的产蛋率曲线拟合效果最佳,拟合度(R2)为0.971;伍德模型的拟合效果最差,R2值为0.396.Gompertz模型、Logistic模型和Von Bertalanff模型均能很好地拟合太湖鹅的累计产蛋数曲线,尤以Gompertz模型的拟合值与观测值最为接近,R2值为0.999.[结论]杨宁模型和Gompertz模型是太湖鹅的最佳产蛋曲线拟合模型,对太湖鹅的选育和饲养管理具有重要的指导意义.

[Objective]This study aimed to investigate the egg-laying performance and patterns of the Taihu goose,and to select the optimal fitting model for the egg-production curve.[Method]For the foundation flock of Taihu goose,the egg production performance was recorded from the onset of lay at 24 weeks of age through 62 weeks of age,and the laying rate and cumulative egg number were statistically analyzed.Fitting models were used to analyze the laying rate(Wood model,Yang Ning model,McMillan model,and cubic equation)and cumulative egg production(Gompertz,Logistic,and Von Bertalanffy)of Taihu goose,and the fitted results were compared with the actual observed values.[Result]The Yang Ning model exhibited the best fitting effect on the laying rate curve of the Taihu goose,with a fitting degree(R2)of 0.971.The fitting effect of the Wood model was the worst,with an R2 value of 0.396.The Gompertz model,Logistic model,and Von Bertalanffy model all provided a good fit for the cumulative egg production curve of the Taihu goose well,with the Gompertz model in particular yielding fitted values closest to the observed values(R2=0.999).[Conclusion]The Yang Ning model and the Gompertz model are the optimal fitting models for the egg production curve of Taihu geese,providing significant guidance for their breeding selection and feeding management.

丁爱云;吴昊;陆火林;蔡宇淳;李勇昊;张扬;陈国宏

苏州市吴中区畜牧兽医站,江苏 苏州 215100扬州大学动物科学与技术学院,江苏 扬州 225000苏州市乡韵太湖鹅有限公司,江苏 苏州 215000扬州大学动物科学与技术学院,江苏 扬州 225000扬州大学动物科学与技术学院,江苏 扬州 225000扬州大学动物科学与技术学院,江苏 扬州 225000扬州大学动物科学与技术学院,江苏 扬州 225000

农业科技

太湖鹅产蛋规律拟合模型

Taihu gooseegg-laying patternfitting model

《四川农业大学学报》 2026 (4)

954-961,8

国家重点研发计划(2024YFF1000903)国家现代农业产业技术体系(CARS-42-3)江苏省现代农业重点及面上项目(BE2022350).

10.16036/j.issn.1000-2650.202510736

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