首页|期刊导航|气候变化研究进展|"沙戈荒"风光互补电站气候-生态效应的多情景比较评估

"沙戈荒"风光互补电站气候-生态效应的多情景比较评估OA

Multi-scenario comparative assessment of climate-ecological effects of wind-solar hybrid power stations in Sandy Arid Gobi regions

中文摘要英文摘要

为评估不同风光互补布设情景对气候-生态的综合影响,基于自主研发的气象-风光耦合数值模型及生态过程机理模型,构建涵盖"布局设计-气候模拟-生态响应"的多情景比较评估方法.以内蒙古阿拉善与新疆哈密两个典型风光互补区为例,在"风光联合发电最稳定"与"风光等面积布设"两类约束条件下,兼顾主导风向的上下游空间关联,设计4种代表性风光互补布设情景,并开展敏感性数值试验.结果表明,风光互补电站的气候-生态效应受布局方案及区域气候背景共同影响,具有明显的情景依赖性和空间异质性.因此,在"沙戈荒"风光互补基地规划阶段,应结合区域气候特征开展多情景比较评估,为可再生能源开发、局地气候稳定与生态保护协同提供科学依据.

To objectively assess the comprehensive climate-ecological impacts of different multi-scenario layouts of wind-solar hybrid power stations,this study develops a multi-scenario comparative assessment framework covering layout design,climate simulation,and ecological response,based on a self-developed meteorological-wind-solar coupling model and an ecological process mechanism model.Taking Alxa in Inner Mongolia and Hami in Xinjiang as case studies,four representative scenarios were designed under two constraints:maximizing stability of joint wind-solar generation and equal-area layout,while considering spatial relationships along the prevailing wind direction.Subsequently,a series of controlled numerical experiments were carried out.The results indicate that the climate-ecological effects of wind-solar complementary power stations are jointly influenced by layout plans,regional climatic conditions and climate change characteristics,showing distinct spatial differentiation characteristics.Therefore,during the planning of large-scale wind-solar bases in Sandy Arid Gobi regions,multi-scenario comparison should be carried out considering regional climate characteristics to provide a scientific basis for new energy development,local climate stability and ecological protection.

常蕊;於琍;郑隽卿;赵悦晨;王阳;哈斯

中国气象局国家气候中心,北京 100081中国气象局国家气候中心,北京 100081清华大学地球系统科学系,北京 100084内蒙古自治区气候中心,呼和浩特 010051中国气象局国家气候中心,北京 100081中国气象局国家气候中心,北京 100081

风光互补多情景布设气候-生态效应比较评估

Wind-solar hybridMulti-scenario layoutClimate-ecological effectsComparative assessment

《气候变化研究进展》 2026 (4)

425-438,14

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFF1303402)内蒙古自治区科技计划项目(2025KJHZ0047)国家自然科学基金项目(42175191)

10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2026.070

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