返乡创业试点政策对中西部县域劳动力流动的影响OA
The Impact of Returning-Home Entrepreneurship Pilot Policy on Labor Mobility in Central and Western Counties of China:Evidence from an Empirical Reseach Based on CFPS Data
[目的]评估返乡创业试点政策对中西部地区劳动力流动及就业质量的影响.[方法]采用自然实验法,将2016-2017年中西部3批返乡创业试点县视为实验组,利用CFPS数据,使用交错双重差分模型开展实证分析,进行一系列稳健性检验与机制检验.[结果]返乡创业试点政策显著降低中西部劳动力外出务工概率约10%,且在不同函数形式、考虑疫情冲击及样本选择偏误控制后仍然稳健.机制分析表明,政策通过增加本地就业机会、提升就业效率和优化产业与就业结构,降低劳动力外出意愿.同时,政策整体改善了就业质量,但具有外出务工经历者就业质量有所下降.[结论]返乡创业试点政策有效促进中西部劳动力就近就业并优化就业结构,但不能忽视不同群体就业质量的差异化影响.
[Objective]This study tries to evaluate the impact of the returning-home entrepreneurship pi-lot policy on labor mobility and employment quality in central and western China.[Method]Using natu-ral experiment method,this study treats the three batches of pilot counties in central and western regions of China approved during 2016 to 2017 as the experimental group and non-pilot counties in those regions as control groups,and employs difference-in-differences model based on the CFPS data,and then conducts a series robustness check and mechanism tests.[Result]The policy significantly reduces the probability of migrant workers in central and western regions by about 10%,and the results remain robust while considering alternative functional forms,pandemic shocks and sample selection bias.Mecha-nism analysis shows that the policy increases local employment opportunities,improves employment efficiency,and optimizes industrial and employment structures.Meanwhile,the employment quality is improved,although the employment quality for workers with migration experience may decline.[Conclusion]The pilot policy promotes local employment and improves employment structure in central and western regions,but the heterogeneous effects on employment quality across different groups should not be ignored.
王飞;黄川皓;李天群
中央民族大学经济学院,北京 100081中央民族大学经济学院,北京 100081中央民族大学经济学院,北京 100081
管理科学
返乡创业双重差分劳动力流动就业质量
returning-home entrepreneurshipdifference-in-differencelabor mobilityemployment quality
《四川农业大学学报》 2026 (4)
1050-1061,1079,13
国家自然科学基金(72073151).
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