首页|期刊导航|热带气象学报|西北太平洋区域发展型和非发展型热带扰动的中尺度对流特征

西北太平洋区域发展型和非发展型热带扰动的中尺度对流特征OA

Mesoscale Convective Characteristics of Developing and Non-developing Tropical Disturbances over the Western North Pacific

中文摘要英文摘要

本文利用多源卫星遥感观测数据,对西北太平洋区域发展为热带气旋(TC)的热带扰动的对流特征进行统计分析,并对比了其与未能发展扰动之间的差异.基于ERA5再分析资料,采用涡度质心定义扰动系统的中心位置,进行热带扰动的示踪,识别出充足的发展型扰动(Developing Disturbance,Dev)和非发展型扰动(Nondeveloping Disturbance,NonDev)轨迹样本.首先对比了两类扰动的大尺度环境特征,发现它们在初期阶段(-48 h 之前)的动力环境特征比较相似,主要在相对湿度等热力因子特征上存在差异.本文侧重对比分析了两类扰动在初期阶段的对流特征.结果表明,相比于NonDev,Dev中的对流不但发生频率更高且分布更广泛.在相对于环境垂直风切变方向的空间分布上,Dev在顺切变区域中具有更高的冷云发生频率,在逆切变区域中具有更高的暖云发生频率;同时,Dev内部逆切变区域中的强对流面积覆盖率比NonDev更高.基于星载降水雷达数据分析显示,Dev在顺切变区域上的层状性降水面积占比更高;从-72~-24 h时段,内部逆切变区域的中等至深对流的24 h平均潜热加热率强度的增幅比内部顺切变区域更大.这些结果进一步揭示了可能与TC形成有关的对流特征.

This study investigates the convective characteristics associated with tropical cyclogenesis in the Western North Pacific(WNP)using multi-source satellite datasets.The differences between developing(Dev)and non-developing(NonDev)tropical disturbances are analyzed.Based on the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis data,disturbance centers were identified via the vorticity centroid and the positions of those tropical disturbance traced for the June to November period spanning 2000-2018,yielding sufficient samples for both Dev and NonDev groups.Analysis of the characteristics of large-scale environment reveals that while dynamic parameters are similar between the two groups in the early stage(prior to-48 h),evident disparities exist in thermodynamic variables,in particular relative humidity.Focusing on disturbances under comparable dynamic conditions,their convective characteristics were compared.The results indicate that Dev disturbances exhibit more widespread spatial distributions and higher temporal frequencies of convective activity than NonDev disturbances.Spatially,relative to the environmental vertical wind shear vector,Dev cases show a higher frequency of cold cloud coverage in the downshear quadrant and warm cloud coverage in the upshear quadrant.Furthermore,the Dev disturbances possess a larger fractional coverage of strong convection in the inner upshear region.Spaceborne precipitation radar observations show a higher proportion of stratiform precipitation area in Dev disturbances.Diagnostically,from-72 h to-48 h,the 24-hour average latent heating rate from moderate to deep convection increases more significantly in the inner upshear region than that in inner downshear region.Subsequently(from-48 h to-24 h),and the differential in average latent heating rate from-48 h to-24 h between inner and outer regions is more pronounced in the upshear region than that in downshear region.These findings further reveal the distinct convective characteristics and heating profiles that facilitate TC genesis.

张智斌;徐伟新;张心言

中山大学大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519080中山大学大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519080中国气象局上海台风研究所,上海 200030

天文与地球科学

热带气旋生成西北太平洋热带扰动卫星遥感观测对流特征

Tropical cyclogenesisWestern North Pacifictropical disturbancesatellite remote sensingconvection characteristics

《热带气象学报》 2026 (4)

457-474,18

国家自然科学基金(42275054)资助

10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2026.045

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