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全球可控核聚变领域的进展、挑战及相关思考OACHSSCD

Progress,challenges,and thinking on global controlled nuclear fusion

中文摘要英文摘要

可控核聚变正步入工程化验证与商业化探索的关键阶段.全球主要科技强国纷纷将核聚变上升为国家战略,通过制定更新发展规划、加大资金投入、完善立法与监管机制,全力推进商业化落地.全球核聚变资本持续涌入,企业加强跨界布局,产业链融合与国际合作不断拓展,公私合作持续深化,产业枢纽加速成型.磁约束与惯性约束两大技术路线同步突破,国内外多个重大装置接连实现高参数运行,仿星器、Z箍缩等多元技术路线协同发展.当前,可控核聚变仍面临系列科学和工程技术挑战,包括燃烧等离子体物理、极端环境下材料性能、氚自持循环等有待深入研究,高温超导磁体工程化应用与等离子体运行控制等领域存在瓶颈.面向中国可控核聚变中长期发展,建议强化顶层设计,完善体制机制,以政企协同加快示范工程落地;持续强化基础研究与关键技术攻关,统筹多元技术路线发展,推动前沿技术融合创新;积极参与国际合作,全面提升在全球核聚变领域的竞争力与话语权,推动聚变能源早日实现商业化应用.

Controlled nuclear fusion is entering a critical phase of engineering validation and commercial exploration.Major science and technology powers have elevated fusion energy to a national strategic priority and advanced commercial deployment through updating development plans,increasing funding,and improving legislative and regulatory frameworks.Global investment in fusion continues to surge,enterprises scale up cross-sector deployment,supply chain integration and international cooperation expand,public-private partnerships deepens,and industrial hubs accelerates to take shape.Breakthroughs have been achieved in both magnetic confinement and inertial confinement fusion,with multiple major facilities worldwide successively attaining high-parameter operation and diverse technical pathways including stellarators and Z-pinch are advancing in parallel.Currently,controlled nuclear fusion still faces such prominent scientific and engineering challenges as burning plasma physics,material performance under extreme conditions,and tritium self-sustaining cycles require further in-depth research and bottlenecks remain in the engineering application of high-temperature superconducting magnets and plasma control.For China's future development,it proposes to strengthen top-level strategic planning,better its institutional frameworks,and to facilitate government and enterprises collaboration to accelerate demonstration projects,sustain fundamental research,tackle core technological bottlenecks,and coordinate the development of multiple pathways to promote integration and innovation across cutting-edge technologies,and actively engage in international cooperation and comprehensively enhance China's competitiveness and influence in the global fusion arena to facilitate the commercialization of fusion energy as early as possible.

程鹏鑫;杨震;曹斌;刘秀如;孙士昌

中国石油规划总院中国石油规划总院中国石油规划总院中国石油规划总院中国石油规划总院

管理科学

可控核聚变磁约束惯性约束产业生态工程挑战

controlled nuclear fusionmagnetic confinementinertial confinementindustrial ecosystemengineering challenges

《国际石油经济》 2026 (8)

1-17,17

中国石油天然气股份有限公司项目"双碳、新兴科技支撑统筹研究"(项目编号:2025DQ0102)

10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.08.001

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