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一种面向交通流量预测的自适应时空图卷积网络OA

An Adaptive Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting

中文摘要英文摘要

针对现有交通流量预测方法未能充分利用节点属性指导图结构学习,以及在捕获复杂时空相关性方面存在局限性等问题,提出了一种结合自适应图结构学习和时空卷积架构的自适应时空图卷积网络(AdpSTGCN).首先,设计一种基于节点属性的自适应图结构学习方法,从全局和局部两个视角动态学习道路网络的空间关系;其次,提出一种专用的时空卷积网络架构,有效地捕获交通流量中的时空相关性,进一步提升模型对复杂时空关系的建模能力,同时引入递进式训练策略来解决模型训练中可学习参数过多和数据稀疏性问题;最后,在高速公路交通数据集 METR-La、PEMS-Bay中分别进行了 15、30、60 min的交通流量预测实验.实验结果表明:AdpSTGCN 模型相较于多个基线模型,在 MAE、RMSE、MAPE 3 个预测误差指标上均表现最优.这说明该模型在未来短期和长期交通流量预测任务上均具有更优的建模能力,为城市交通疏导提供了理论依据.

To address the limitations of existing traffic flow prediction methods in fully utilizing node attributes to guide graph structure learning and capturing complex spatio-temporal dependencies,in this study an Adaptive Spa-tio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network(AdpSTGCN)integrating adaptive graph structure learning with spatio-temporal convolutional architecture was proposes.Firstly,an adaptive graph structure learning method based on node attributes was designed to dynamically capture spatial relationships in road networks from both global and local perspectives.Secondly,a dedicated spatio-temporal convolutional architecture was developed to effectively model spatio-temporal correlations in traffic flow patterns,further enhancing the model's capability to handle complex spa-tio-temporal relationships.A progressive training strategy was introduced to address challenges of excessive learna-ble parameters and data sparsity during model training.Finally,experimental evaluations on highway traffic datasets(METR-La and PEMS-Bay)demonstrated the model's performance in 15,30,and 60 minutes traffic flow predic-tion tasks.Experimental results showed that the AdpSTGCN model achieved the best performance among multiple baseline models in terms of three prediction error metrics:MAE,RMSE,and MAPE.These findings indicate the model's superior modeling capabilities for both short-term and long-term traffic flow prediction tasks,providing a theoretical foundation for urban traffic management strategies.

张震;刘博;李卓;张学忠

郑州大学 河南先进技术研究院,河南 郑州 450001||郑州大学 电气与信息工程学院,河南 郑州 450001郑州大学 河南先进技术研究院,河南 郑州 450001郑州大学 电气与信息工程学院,河南 郑州 450001国网周口供电公司,河南 周口 466000

信息技术与安全科学

交通流量预测自适应图结构节点属性图卷积网络时空相关性

traffic flow predictionadaptive graph structurenode attributesgraph convolutional networkspatio-temporal correlation

《郑州大学学报(工学版)》 2026 (5)

68-76,9

河南省重点研发专项(231111211600)

10.13705/j.issn.1671-6833.2025.05.011

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