首页|期刊导航|肿瘤药学|基于周围神经浸润特征的替莫唑胺经治脑胶质瘤预后模型构建及药敏分析

基于周围神经浸润特征的替莫唑胺经治脑胶质瘤预后模型构建及药敏分析OA

Construction of a prognostic model and drug sensitivity analysis for temozolomide-treated glioma based on perineural invasion-related features

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 构建并验证基于周围神经浸润(PNI)相关特征的脑胶质瘤预后模型,并以探索性分析评估该模型识别潜在化疗耐药亚群的能力.方法 基于中国脑胶质瘤基因组图谱(CGGA)中接受替莫唑胺(TMZ)治疗患者的转录组与临床数据,筛选原发/复发差异基因与PNI相关基因的交集,并进行功能富集分析.整合101种机器学习算法组合筛选特征以构建风险评分.通过生存分析、ROC曲线及列线图评估预测效能,并将药物敏感性预测作为探索性次要分析,比较高低风险组对6种药物的半数抑制浓度(IC50).结果 鉴定出65个PNI/复发相关核心基因.优选StepCox+RSF算法组合构建了5基因(CP、SNAI2、GLP1R、LRP1B、VCAN)预后模型.高风险组总生存期显著缩短(P<0.000 1),模型在各队列中的1、3、5年预测效能良好且稳定.结合IDH等临床参数的列线图进一步提升了预测准确性.高风险组对卡莫司汀(P=1.3×10-10)及多种靶向药物的预测IC50值显著升高,提示其可能存在较低的预测药物敏感性.结论 整合多重机器学习构建的5基因预后模型能够稳定地实现胶质瘤患者生存风险分层,探索性药敏分析提示该模型可能有助于识别具有药物低敏倾向的高风险亚群.

Objective To construct and validate a prognostic model for glioma based on perineural invasion(PNI)-re-lated features,and to evaluate its potential for identifying chemoresistant subpopulations through exploratory analysis.Methods Transcriptomic and clinical data from patients treated with temozolomide(TMZ)were retrieved from the Chi-nese Glioma Genome Atlas(CGGA).Differentially expressed genes between primary and recurrent tumors were intersect-ed with PNI-related gene sets,and the resulting overlapping genes were subjected to functional enrichment analysis.A comprehensive framework integrating 101 machine learning algorithm combinations was applied for feature selection and risk score construction.Predictive performance was assessed using survival analysis,time-dependent receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,and nomograms.Drug sensitivity prediction was performed as an exploratory secondary analy-sis to compare the half-maximal inhibitory concentration(IC₅₀)between risk subgroups.Results Sixty-five core genes asso-ciated with PNI and recurrence were identified.The StepCox+RSF algorithm,which exhibited optimal performance,was used to establish a 5-gene(CP,SNAI2,GLP1R,LRP1B,and VCAN)prognostic model.Patients in the high-risk group had significantly shorter overall survival(P<0.000 1),and the model demonstrated robust and consistent predictive performance at 1,3,and 5 years across cohorts.A nomogram integrating clinical parameters,including IDH status,further improved pre-dictive accuracy.The high-risk group exhibited significantly higher predicted IC₅₀ values for carmustine(P=1.3×10⁻¹⁰)and multiple targeted agents,suggesting potentially lower drug sensitivity.Conclusion The 5-gene prognostic model,devel-oped via integrated machine learning approaches,enables reliable survival risk stratification in glioma patients.Exploratory drug sensitivity analysis indicates that this model may facilitate the identification of high-risk subgroups with a propensity for reduced chemosensitivity.

李婷婷;刘志刚;周美娟

南方医科大学 公共卫生学院,广东 广州,510515||南方医科大学第十附属医院/东莞市人民医院 肿瘤中心,肿瘤精准诊断与治疗东莞重点实验室,广东 东莞,523059南方医科大学第十附属医院/东莞市人民医院 肿瘤中心,肿瘤精准诊断与治疗东莞重点实验室,广东 东莞,523059南方医科大学 公共卫生学院,广东 广州,510515

医药卫生

脑胶质瘤周围神经浸润机器学习生物信息学分析预后模型化疗耐药药物敏感性预测

GliomaPerineural invasionMachine learningBioinformatics analysisPrognostic modelChemoresis-tanceDrug sensitivity prediction

《肿瘤药学》 2026 (3)

330-340,11

10.3969/j.issn.2095-1264.2026.03.09

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