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绿色金融政策的就业效应OA

Employment effects of green finance policies:evidence from pilot zones for green finance reform and innovation

中文摘要英文摘要

随着应对气候变化紧迫性和气候风险严重性日益加剧,绿色金融已经成为支撑经济社会低碳转型的重要驱动力.金融资源的"向绿"优化也将会影响企业的劳动力需求.该研究基于2011-2023年A股上市公司的样本数据,以绿色金融改革创新试验区建设为准自然实验,使用双重差分模型研究了绿色金融政策的就业效应及其作用机制.研究表明:①绿色金融改革创新试验区政策显著提高了企业劳动力净需求.在经过平行趋势检验、安慰剂检验、更换聚类方式、数据缩尾处理以及采用工具变量法进行内生性处理等一系列稳健性检验后,所得结论依然成立.②机制检验表明,绿色金融政策带来的就业增长源于污染型企业的末端治理效应,而创新驱动的"波特效应"并未发挥作用.并且,污染型企业劳动力需求增加的末端治理效应主要体现在末端设备安装而非生产设备升级.③异质性分析发现,该政策的就业增长效应在东部地区、资本密集型企业以及污染型行业中更加显著,而企业所有制的影响并不明显.④针对就业结构变化研究还发现,一方面,绿色金融政策提升了生产、销售、技术、综合管理等岗位的劳动力需求,但降低了人事、行政、客服等其他替代性较强岗位的劳动力需求.另一方面,绿色金融政策对不同技能水平的劳动力需求均有不同程度的提升作用.此外,绿色金融政策还能够增加污染型行业的劳动报酬,一定程度上维护了转型过程中的公正性.

With the increasing urgency of addressing climate change and the growing severity of climate risks,green finance has be-come an important driving force supporting the low-carbon transformation of the economy and society.The"greening"optimization of fi-nancial resources also affects firm labor demand.Based on panel data for A-share listed companies from 2011 to 2023,this study took the construction of pilot zones for green finance reform and innovation(PZGFRI)as a quasi-natural experiment and used the difference-in-differences model to examine the employment effects of green finance policies and their underlying mechanisms.The results showed that:① The PZGFRI policy significantly increased firms'net labor demand.This conclusion remained robust after a series of robust-ness tests,including parallel trend tests,placebo tests,changing the clustering method,data winsorization,and endogeneity processing using the instrumental variable method.② Mechanism tests indicated that the employment growth of the PZGFRI policy stemmed from the end-of-pipe treatment effect in polluting enterprises,while the innovation-driven"Porter effect"did not play a role.Moreover,the end-of-pipe treatment effect of increased labor demand in polluting enterprises was mainly reflected in the installation of end-of-pipe equipment,rather than in the upgrading of production equipment.③ Heterogeneity analysis revealed that employment growth effects of the PZGFRI policy were more pronounced in the eastern region,capital-intensive enterprises,and polluting industries,while the impact of corporate ownership was not significant.④ Research on changes in employment structure found that,on the one hand,the PZGFRI policy increased labor demand in positions such as production,sales,technology,and general management,but reduced labor demand in other positions with strong substitutability,such as human resources,administration,and customer service.On the other hand,the PZGFRI policy had a varying degree of enhancing effect on the labor demand at different skill levels.In addition,this study also found that the PZGFRI policy could increase labor compensation in polluting industries and,to a certain extent,maintain fairness during the transition process.

张坤;贾明杰;潘家华

北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京 100124||北京工业大学生态文明研究院,北京 100124北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京 100124||北京工业大学生态文明研究院,北京 100124香港科技大学(广州)碳中和与气候变化学域,广东 广州 511453

管理科学

绿色金融企业劳动力需求就业双重差分

green financefirmlabor demandemploymentdifference-in-differences

《中国人口·资源与环境》 2026 (6)

43-57,15

国家自然科学基金青年项目"中国区域碳中和路径优化与协同减排机制设计研究"(批准号:72204013)国家自然科学基金专项项目"面向碳中和的中国经济转型模式构建研究"(批准号:72140001)北京市教委社会科学一般项目"北京实现碳中和的综合技术集成路径选择与优化研究"(批准号:SM202310005005)北京市自然科学基金面上项目"碳中和目标下京津冀地区能源脱碳路径与协同减排机制研究"(批准号:9252001).

10.12062/cpre.20251013

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