1961-2020年辽宁花生秋霜冻的时空分布特征OA
Spatiotemporal Distribution Characteristics of Autumn Frost Damage for Liaoning Peanut from 1961 to 2020
基于辽宁 1961-2020 年 56 个国家级气象站日最低气温资料,以≤0.5℃为指标识别霜日和初霜日,统计花生生长季秋霜日数和成熟期霜日数,分析初霜日和花生生长季秋霜日数的时空特征,筛选花生成熟期霜冻的高发时段和易发站点,为中高纬度花生产区的霜冻预报和防御提供参考.结果表明:1961-2020 年辽宁56 站初霜日分布在 9 月8 日-11 月27 日,92.9%站 80%保证率的初霜日集中在 9 月下旬-10 月中旬,初霜日自东北部产区、东部山区、辽西产区、中部产区和辽南产区依次出现.1961-2020 年全省初霜日呈推迟趋势(1.25d·10a-1,P<0.05),但在 2011-2020 年呈不显著的提前变化(-2.24d·10a-1,P=0.53).1961-2020 年辽宁 56 站花生生长季秋霜日数为 0~6d·a-1,67.9%站点呈减少变化(-0.84~-0.01d·10a-1),其中 35.7%站通过显著性检验.南部沿海站点未发生花生生长季秋霜冻,辽西产区、东北部产区、中部产区和东部山区的部分站点在 9 月上中旬发生过花生成熟期霜冻.除辽南产区外,辽宁花生产区和东部山区应以防范 9 月下旬-10月收晒阶段霜冻为主,上述地区的部分站点还需防范 9 月上中旬的成熟期霜冻.尽管以霜冻为代表的秋季热量条件对辽宁花生后期生长的限制作用在减轻,但在花生种植和扩种时,需关注近年来初霜日不稳定提前带来的生长季秋霜冻和成熟期霜冻风险.气象部门可在 9 月上旬启动花生秋霜 7d 动态预报,为种植户适时采收提供参考.
Based on the daily minimum temperature data in the 56 national meteorological stations of Liaoning from 1961 to 2020,frost days and the first frost date were identified using a threshold of≤0.5℃,then the number of autumn frost days during the peanut growing season and the number of frost days during the maturation stage were calculated.This study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of the first frost date and the number of autumn frost days during the peanut growing season,screened the high-frequency periods and susceptible stations of frost during the peanut maturation period,providing references for frost forecasting and prevention in peanut‒producing areas at middle and high latitudes.The results showed that from 1961 to 2020,the first frost date in 56 stations of Liaoning was from September 8 to November 27,and the first frost date with an 80%guarantee rate was concentrated from late September to mid-October in 92.9%of stations.The first frost dates occurred sequentially in the northeast producing region,the eastern mountainous region,the western producing region,the middle producing area and the southern producing region.Provincial first frost date showed a delayed trend from 1961 to 2020(1.25d·10y-1,P<0.05),whereas a non-significant advancing change during 2011 to 2020(-2.24d·10y-1,P=0.53).From 1961 to 2020,the number of autumn frost days during the peanut growing season in 56 stations ranged from 0 to 6d·y-1.In 67.9%of the stations,the number of autumn frost days during the peanut growing season showed a decreasing change(-0.84 to-0.01d·10y-1),with 35.7%of the stations passing the significance test.No autumnal frost events were recorded during the peanut growing season at the stations along the southern coast.However,some stations in the western producing region,northeastern producing region,middle producing region and eastern mountainous region experienced frost during the peanut ripening period in early to mid-September.With the exception of the southern production area,other peanut-producing areas and mountainous areas in eastern Liaoning should prioritize frost prevention during the harvest drying phase from late September to October.In addition,some stations in the aforementioned areas needed to take precautions against frost during the maturation stage in early to mid-September.Although the limiting effect of autumn thermal conditions represented by frost on the late growth stage of peanuts in Liaoning had been alleviating,attention should be paid to the risks of autumn frost during the growing season and frost during the maturation period due to the unstable advancement of the first frost date in recent years when conducting peanut cultivation or expanding planting areas.For the meteorological departments,a 7d dynamic forecast of peanut autumn frost could be initiated in early September to provide reference for planters to harvest at a appropriate time.
王贺然;韩雪;吴东丽;李迎春;陈鹏狮;刘聪;王安庭
中国气象局·河南省农业气象保障与应用技术研究重点开放实验室,郑州 450003||辽宁省生态气象和卫星遥感中心,沈阳 110166||中国气象局气象探测中心,北京 100081中国农业科学院农业环境与可持续发展研究所,北京 100081中国气象局气象探测中心,北京 100081中国农业科学院农业环境与可持续发展研究所,北京 100081辽宁省生态气象和卫星遥感中心,沈阳 110166中国气象局气象探测中心,北京 100081辽宁省生态气象和卫星遥感中心,沈阳 110166
花生霜冻初霜日辽宁
PeanutFrost damageFirst frost dateLiaoning
《中国农业气象》 2026 (8)
1284-1298,15
中国气象局·河南省农业气象保障与应用技术重点实验室开放研究基金项目(AMF202406)国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFD2301303)国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFF0805901)国家自然科学基金项目(42275202)中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所区域合作项目(2020SYIAEHZ1)
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