首页|期刊导航|医学信息|中青年轻型脑梗死患者急性期认知功能障碍危险因素分析及风险预测模型建立

中青年轻型脑梗死患者急性期认知功能障碍危险因素分析及风险预测模型建立OA

Risk Factors Analysis and Risk Prediction Model Establishment of Acute Cognitive Dysfunction in Young and Middle-aged Patients with Mild Cerebral Infarction

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 探究中青年轻型脑梗死患者急性期认知功能障碍的危险因素,并构建风险预测模型,以提高早期诊断和干预的准确性.方法 选取 2023 年 1 月-2025 年 1 月在萍乡市第二人民医院收治的 60 例中青年轻型脑梗死患者,根据MoCA评分将患者分为认知障碍组(n=17)和认知正常组(n=43),分析中青年轻型脑梗死患者急性期认知功能障碍危险因素,并运用Logistic回归模型构建风险预测模型,通过Bootstrap法验证其效能.结果 在纳入研究的 60 例患者中,17 例(28.33%)出现急性期认知功能障碍.单因素分析表明,文化程度、CRP水平、Hcy水平及责任血管狭窄程度在两组间差异显著(P<0.05).Logistic回归分析结果显示,文化程度低、CRP≥3.035 mg/L、Hcy≥18.30 μmol/L、责任血管狭窄程度≥50%为中青年轻型脑梗死患者急性期认知功能障碍的独立危险因素.基于这些因素构建的列线图模型,经Bootstrap验 证,C-index达 0.825,AUC为 0.827(95%CI:0.774~0.879,P<0.001),展现出良好的区分度和拟合优度(Hosmer-Lemeshow检验:x2=3.001,P=0.934).结论 中青年轻型脑梗死患者急性期认知功能障碍与文化程度、CRP、Hcy水平及责任血管狭窄程度密切相关,且该风险预测模型具有良好的预测效能,可为临床早期识别高风险患者提供有力支持,助力及时干预,改善患者预后.

Objective To explore the risk factors of acute cognitive dysfunction in young and middle-aged patients with mild cerebral infarction,and to construct a risk prediction model to improve the accuracy of early diagnosis and intervention.Methods A total of 60 young and middle-aged patients with mild cerebral infarction admitted to Pingxiang Second People's Hospital from January 2023 to January 2025 were selected.According to MoCA score,the patients were divided into cognitive impairment group(n=17)and cognitive normal group(n=43).The risk factors of acute cognitive dysfunction in young and middle-aged patients with mild cerebral infarction were analyzed.Logistic regression model was used to construct risk prediction model,and Bootstrap method was used to verify its efficacy.Results Among the 60 patients included in the study,17(28.33%)patients had acute cognitive dysfunction.Univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in education level,CRP level,Hcy level and stenosis degree of responsible vessels between the two groups(P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that low education level,CRP≥3.035 mg/L,Hcy≥18.30 μmol/L,and responsible vascular stenosis≥50%were independent risk factors for acute cognitive dysfunction in young and middle-aged patients with mild cerebral infarction.The nomogram model based on these factors was validated by Bootstrap,with C-index of 0.825 and AUC of 0.827(95%CI:0.774-0.879,P<0.001),showing good discrimination and goodness of fit(Hosmer-Lemeshow test:x2=3.001,P=0.934).Conclusion Cognitive dysfunction in young and middle-aged patients with acute mild cerebral infarction is closely related to education level,CRP,Hcy level and degree of responsible vascular stenosis,and the risk prediction model has good predictive efficacy,which can provide strong support for early clinical identification of high-risk patients,help timely intervention,and improve the prognosis of patients.

叶丽;许雪朋;吴戆

萍乡市第二人民医院神经内科,江西 萍乡 337000萍乡市第二人民医院神经内科,江西 萍乡 337000萍乡市第二人民医院神经内科,江西 萍乡 337000

医药卫生

中青年轻型脑梗死急性期认知功能障碍危险因素预测模型

Mild cerebral infarction in young and middle-agedAcute cognitive dysfunctionRisk factorsPrediction model

《医学信息》 2026 (15)

41-45,5

江西省卫生健康委科技计划项目(编号:202510969)

10.3969/j.issn.1006-1959.2026.15.006

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