城市地下管网管损事件与交通路网耦合特征分析OA
Analysis of Coupling Characteristics Between Urban Underground Pipeline Failures and the Road Network
以上海市中心城区(浦西)供水管网和交通路网为例,收集了2004-2022年间5 630起供水管网管损事件,综合运用管损率模型和机器学习模型,分析了管网属性和路网特征两类安全因素对管损率及管损发生概率的影响规律,揭示了城市地下管网管损事件与交通路网耦合特征.研究表明,在管网-路网耦合系统中,管网脆弱性根本上取决于管道自身的基础物理属性,路网对管网的动态作用是导致管损的关键因素.距交叉路口越近,管道损坏发生概率越高;不同交叉路口形式中,环形路口管损率最高,其次是十字路口和X形路口;管道斜交穿越道路易损性最高,横穿道路次之,沿道路平行敷设相对较低.
Taking the water supply network and road network in Shanghai's central Puxi area as a case study,this paper analyzes 5 630 pipeline failure records from 2004 to 2022.Based on a pipeline failure rate model and machine learning algorithms,it examines the influence of pipeline attributes and road network characteristics on pipeline failure rate and failure probability,and reveals the coupling characteristics between urban underground pipeline failures and road networks.The results demonstrate that in the coupled pipeline-road network system,pipeline vulnerability fundamentally depends on its physical attributes,while the traffic-induced dynamic effects of the road network are key triggers of pipeline failures.Pipelines located closer to road intersections show a higher failure probability.Pipelines located at roundabouts exhibit the highest failure rate,followed by those at cross and X-shaped intersections.Pipelines crossing roads at oblique angles are the most vulnerable,followed by those crossing roads perpendicularly,whereas pipelines parallel to roads are the least vulnerable.
胡群芳;张强;张昱;王飞;鲍月全;车德路
同济大学城市交通研究院,上海 200092||同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海 201804||同济大学上海防灾救灾研究所,上海 200092||城市安全风险监测预警应急管理部重点实验室,上海 200092同济大学城市交通研究院,上海 200092||同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海 201804同济大学城市交通研究院,上海 200092||同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海 201804同济大学上海防灾救灾研究所,上海 200092||城市安全风险监测预警应急管理部重点实验室,上海 200092上海城投水务(集团)有限公司,上海 200082上海城市水资源开发利用国家工程中心有限公司,上海 200082
建筑与水利
城市生命线地下管网交通路网管损事件耦合特征
urban lifelinewater supply networkroad networkpipeline failurecoupling characteristics
《同济大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026 (8)
1113-1123,11
国家重点研发计划(2022YFC3801000)上海市"科技创新行动计划"社会发展科技攻关项目(22dz120120022dz1200402)上海城投水务(集团)有限公司项目(KY.WB.23.012KY.YW.22.0002)
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