基于改进投影寻踪的城市轨道交通基础设施韧性评估研究OA
Research on Resilience Assessment of Urban Rail Transit Infrastructure Based on Improved Projection Pursuit
对典型交通基础设施进行韧性分析与评估,是识别重要设施节点、提高应对突发事件能力的基础.为了解决城市轨道交通基础设施运营时间长、设备老化加快、安全隐患较多等问题,从基础设施的结构特点、故障模式出发,建立故障树模型分析设施失效机理及概率,识别关键故障模式.从抵抗能力、恢复能力、适应能力3个方面分析韧性影响因素,以此为依据构建韧性评估指标体系,并利用改进粒子群优化的投影寻踪评价算法,评估典型城市轨道交通基础设施的韧性等级,并根据最佳投影方向判断脆弱指标.以南京地铁2号线为例进行验证,结果表明,40%的车站韧性水平较高,韧性等级达到Ⅳ级,45%的车站韧性水平中等,其余15%的车站韧性水平较低,针对脆弱指标所提出维护策略能够为城市轨道交通基础设施的韧性提升提供有效参考.
Conducting resilience analysis and assessment of typical transportation infrastructure is the foundation for identifying critical facility nodes and enhancing the ability to respond to emergencies.To solve the problems of long operating time,accelerated equipment aging,and numerous safety hazards in urban rail transit infrastructure,starting from the structural characteristics and failure modes of the infrastructure,a fault tree model was established to analyze the failure mechanisms and probabilities of the facilities and identify the critical failure modes.The influencing factors of resilience were analyzed from three aspects:resistance,recovery,and adaptability,and based on this,a resilience assessment indicator system was constructed.The resilience levels of typical urban rail transit infrastructure were assessed using a projection pursuit evaluation algorithm based on improved particle swarm optimization,and vulnerable indicators were determined based on the optimal projection direction.Nanjing Metro Line 2 was taken as an example for verification.The results show that 40%of the stations have a high resilience level,reaching Grade Ⅳ;45%of the stations have a moderate resilience level;the remaining 15%of the stations have a low resilience level.The maintenance strategies proposed for the vulnerable indicators can provide an effective reference for improving the resilience of urban rail transit infrastructure.
李馨悦;徐永能
南京理工大学 自动化学院,江苏 南京 210094南京理工大学 自动化学院,江苏 南京 210094
交通工程
城市轨道交通基础设施韧性评估投影寻踪模型粒子群优化算法
Urban Rail TransitInfrastructureResilience AssessmentProjection Pursuit ModelParticle Swarm Optimization Algorithm
《铁道运输与经济》 2026 (8)
30-39,10
国家自然科学基金项目(52072214)国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFE0194600)
评论