俄乌冲突中天基信息支援链的运作机制、对抗形态与治理外溢OACHSSCD
The Space-Based Information Support Chain in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict:Operating Mechanisms,Forms of Confrontation,and Governance Spillovers
[目的]剖析俄乌冲突天基信息支援链的运作机制与对抗特征,评估商业航天介入引发的治理变化及外溢.[方法]采用案例研究与系统分析,按空间段、链路段、地面段、用户段四层结构,梳理卫星通信、商业遥感、定位授时嵌入作战链的路径,识别围绕链路可用性与控制权的博弈.[结果/结论]冲突显示天基能力加速进入战术层面,竞争重心也转向链路韧性;电磁压制、网络攻击和准入控制等软杀伤常态化,主要作用于链路段、地面段控制面与用户段接收端;商业平台授权与运维规则提升治理难度,故障与对抗更易外溢公共服务.
[Purpose]This study examines the operating mechanism and confrontation dynamics of the space-based information support chain in the Russia-Ukraine conflict,and assesses the governance shifts and spillover effects triggered by commercial space involvement.[Method]Using case study and systems analysis,it traces how satellite communications,commercial remote sensing,and positioning and timing are embedded into the kill chain across four layers-space,link,ground,and user-end identifies contestation over link availability and control.[Result/Conclusion]The conflict shows that space-based capabilities are rapidly moving into the tactical domain,with com-petition shifting toward link resilience.Soft-kill measures,including electromagnetic suppression,cyberattacks,and access control,have become routine,mainly targeting the link segment,the ground-segment control plane,and user-end receivers.The authorization and op-erational rules of commercial platforms further complicate governance,making failures and confrontation more likely to spill over into pub-lic services.
汪瑾卉;闫鹏;韩萧;庞建国
上海大学全球问题研究院 上海 200444中国人民解放军63729 部队 太原 030000上海大学全球问题研究院 上海 200444中国人民解放军63729 部队 太原 030000
社会科学
俄乌冲突天基信息支援链软杀伤商业航天空间对抗太空治理
Russia-Ukraine conflictspace-based information support chainsoft killcommercial spacespace confrontationspace governance
《情报杂志》 2026 (8)
29-36,8
国家社会科学基金青年项目"国际太空竞合和外空治理体系建设研究"(编号:25CGJ057)研究成果.
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