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基于无监督学习的井漏风险层位预测方法OA

Prediction Method of Lost Circulation Risk Horizon Based on Unsupervised Learning

中文摘要英文摘要

钻井工程经常会遇到井漏这一工程难题,钻前准确预测井漏风险层位对安全钻井尤为重要.井漏风险预测偏重于地震属性匹配关系的研究,为了减少对井漏层位属性标定结果的依赖性,基于无监督聚类算法,提取与井漏事件关系密切的关键参数.针对处理数据不平衡情况下的异常检测问题,基于支持向量机算法,构建井漏风险评估模型及井漏风险指数,对新钻井进行井漏风险层位评估.构建的井漏风险指数对应预测风险层位发生井漏的概率,可将预测的井漏风险分为4个等级,将预测结果与实际对比,符合率可达 85.8%.本方法可解决井漏层位属性标定结果依赖性高和处理数据不平衡情况下的异常检测难题,为井漏的预防和处理提供新的技术思路.

Lost circulation is a common engineering problem in drilling engineering,and particularly important to accurately predict the risk horizon of lost circulation before drilling for safe drilling.The prediction of lost circulation risk is based on the study of the matching relationship of seismic attributes.To reduce the dependence on the calibration results of lost circulation horizon attributes,the key parameters closely related to lost circulation events are extracted by unsupervised clustering algorithm.Aiming at the problem of anomaly detection in the case of unbalanced data processing,based on the support vector machine(one-class SVM for anomaly detection)algorithm,the lost circulation risk assessment model and lost circulation risk index are constructed to assess the lost circulation risk horizon of new drilling wells.The constructed lost circulation risk index corresponds to the probability of lost circulation in the predicted risk horizon,and the predicted lost circulation risk can be divided into four grades.The coincidence rate of the predicted results and the actual results can reach 85.8%.The results show that this method can solve the problem of abnormal detection under the condition of high dependence of the calibration results of lost circulation horizon attributes and unbalanced processing data,and provide a new technical idea for the prevention and treatment of lost circulation.

谭伟雄;赵才顺;李灿灿;李文元

中海油能源发展股份有限公司 工程技术分公司,天津 300452中海油能源发展股份有限公司 工程技术分公司,天津 300452中海油能源发展股份有限公司 工程技术分公司,天津 300452中海油能源发展股份有限公司 工程技术分公司,天津 300452

天文与地球科学

裂缝预测井漏无监督学习工程技术地震属性

fracture predictionlost circulationunsupervised learningengineering technologyseismic attributes

《广东石油化工学院学报》 2026 (3)

55-60,6

10.26962/j.cnki.1991.2026.0051

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