国有经济提升我国制造业产业链韧性了吗?OA
Has the State-owned Economy Improved the Resilience of China's Manufacturing Industrial Chain:Reflections on a Moderate Scale
国有经济在提升我国制造业产业链韧性方面应发挥关键作用,但其作用机制及影响路径尚未得到充分研究.本文基于适度规模的视角,利用2007-2023年省级面板数据,探究国有经济对我国制造业产业链韧性的理论影响机制.研究发现:(1)国有经济对我国制造业产业链韧性呈现出"倒U型"的影响,即适度规模有助于增强韧性,但比重过高将削弱其正面效应.(2)作用机制分析表明,国有经济通过影响产业结构升级和地区产业集聚水平,作用于产业链韧性;在市场化程度较高的地区,国有经济的提升作用会有所减弱.(3)此外,国有经济在创新、抗波动和控制能力等方面的作用更为突出,尤其是在内陆地区和低行政垄断环境下.因此,建议根据产业和地区特性,合理调整国有经济的规模,以优化其在产业链韧性提升中的作用.
The state-owned economy should play a key role in enhancing the resilience of China's manufacturing industrial chain,but its underlying mechanisms and impact pathways have not been fully studied.Based on the perspective of a moderate scale and using provincial panel data from 2007 to 2023,this paper explores the theoretical impact mechanisms of the state-owned economy on the resilience of China's manufacturing industrial chain.The study finds that:(1)The state-owned economy exhibits an"inverted U-shaped"effect on the resilience of China's manufacturing industrial chain,meaning that a moderate scale helps strengthen resilience,but an excessively high proportion weakens its positive effects.(2)Mechanism analysis indicates that the state-owned economy influences industrial chain resilience through its impact on industrial structure upgrading and regional industrial agglomeration;furthermore,in regions with a higher degree of marketization,the enhancing effect of the state-owned economy is somewhat weakened.(3)In addition,the role of the state-owned economy is more prominent in innovation,shock resistance,and control capacity,especially in inland regions and environments with low administrative monopoly.Therefore,it is recommended to rationally adjust the scale of the state-owned economy according to industrial and regional characteristics to optimize its role in enhancing industrial chain resilience.
黄信灶;张田华
江西师范大学江西经济发展研究院(江西南昌 330022)江西师范大学江西经济发展研究院(江西南昌 330022)
管理科学
产业链韧性国有经济倒U型关系适度规模
Industrial Chain ResilienceState-owned EconomyInverted U-shaped RelationshipModerate Scale
《科技广场》 2026 (3)
53-67,15
国家社会科学基金一般项目"我国制造业产业链韧性的测度、影响机制与提升路径研究"(项目编号:21BJY063)江西省教育厅研究生创新基金项目"国有经济提升我国制造业产业链韧性的作用评价、影响机制与优化建议"(项目编号:YC2024-S215)
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