广西养老机构发展水平的空间分异特征及成因研究OA
Spatial Differentiation Characteristics and Driving Factors of the Development Level of Elderly Care Institutions in Guangxi
通过构建养老机构发展水平综合指标,探究广西养老机构空间分异特征,运用耦合协调度模型分析市域养老机构发展水平与人口老龄化的耦合协调度,并借助地理探测器识别其关键驱动因素.研究表明:1)广西养老机构发展水平区域与城乡差异显著,南宁市养老服务资源配置最优,经济较发达的地级市和区县养老机构发展水平较高,且同一城市内部市辖区明显优于市辖县;2)养老机构发展水平与人口老龄化的耦合协调类型以勉强协调和初级协调为主,二者整体呈现弱协调性;3)医疗水平、收入水平、财政支出是影响养老机构发展水平的主要因素.养老机构发展水平受多个因子的共同作用,医疗水平和其他因子共同作用是养老机构发展水平的重要主导因子.
In this study,a comprehensive evaluation index system was established to assess the developmental level of elderly care institutions and explore their spatial differentiation patterns in Guangxi.A coupling coordination model was employed to examine the synergistic relationship between the development of elderly care facilities and population aging at the municipal scale,while a geographical detector model was utilized to identify the core driving factors.The results indicate evident spatial and urban-rural heterogeneity in the distribu-tion and development of elderly care services across Guangxi.Nanning exhibits the optimal allocation of elderly care resources,and economically advanced prefecture-level cities and counties demonstrate superior developmental performance.Within individual municipal ad-ministrative units,urban districts show substantially higher service levels than suburban counties.The coupling coordination between elderly care institution development and popu-lation aging is primarily categorized as barely coordinated and preliminarily coordinated types,reflecting an overall weak synergistic matching status.Medical service conditions,resident income levels,and fiscal expenditure are identified as the dominant influencing fac-tors.The development of elderly care institutions is governed by the interactive effects of multiple socioeconomic variables,and the synergies between medical resources and other contextual factors serve as the leading driving mechanism shaping regional elderly care devel-opment.
黄华静;李峙;周宏彦
南宁师范大学地理科学与规划学院,530000,南宁南宁师范大学地理科学与规划学院,530000,南宁南宁师范大学地理科学与规划学院,530000,南宁
建筑与水利
养老机构发展水平人口老龄化空间分异特征影响因素
development level of elderly care institutionspopulation agingspatial heteroge-neityinfluencing factors
《江西科学》 2026 (4)
613-621,9
广西重点研发计划项目(桂科AB24010025).
评论