1980-2024年西藏大气水分输送特征及变化趋势OA
Characteristics and variation trends of atmospheric water transport in Xizang during 1980-2024
研究西藏大气水分输送特征及变化规律,有助于了解高原水循环变化,对于西藏生态安全屏障和生态文明建设意义重大.基于ERA5再分析资料,利用边界格点输送法和线性倾向估计等方法,精细评估了1980-2024年西藏区域大气水分输送量及其变化特征.结果表明:(1)西藏区域大气水分各分量的年净输入量水汽、云液水、云冰水和总水量分别为4434.4×108 t、106.2×108 t、-39.0×108 t和4501.6×108 t,其中云冰水在西藏表现为年净输出的特点;月净输入量上半年逐月递增,7月达到峰值,下半年逐月递减,11-12月甚至是区域净输出.(2)西藏净输入边界主要分布在林芝市、山南市和日喀则市边界,以及阿里地区南边界和西边界,其中林芝市和山南市部分边界净输入量较大,净输出的边界主要分布在昌都市、那曲市和阿里地区的北边界.(3)从输送变化来说,喜马拉雅中西段边界净输入量呈显著性增多的趋势,北边界和藏东南部分边界净输入量减少趋势显著.研究结论为开展高原水资源管理、生态修复型人工影响天气和气象防灾减灾等工作提供重要参考.
Studying the characteristics and trends of atmospheric water transport in Xizang is crucial for understand-ing the Plateau's water cycle and constructing Xizang's ecological security barrier and highland of ecological civili-zation.This study analyzed atmospheric water transport in Xizang from 1980 to 2024 using ERA5 reanalysis data,employing methods such as boundary grid point transport budget and linear trend estimation.The results indicate that:(1)Xizang experiences annual net inputs of water vapor,cloud liquid water,cloud ice water,and total water of 4434.4×108 t,106.2×108 t,-39.0×108 t,and 4501.6×108 t,respectively,of these,cloud ice water shows the character-istic of net output.The total water input increases monthly in the first half of the year,peaking in July,then decreas-es monthly in the second half,becoming a regional net output in November and December.(2)Net water input boundary grid points are mainly distributed along the boundaries of Nyingchi City,Shannan City,Xigazê City,and the southern and western boundaries of Ngari Prefecture.Some boundary grid points in Nyingchi City and Shannan City have relatively large net inputs,whereas the boundary grid points with net output are mainly distributed along the boundaries of Qamdo City,Nagqu City,and the northern boundaries of Ngari Prefecture.(3)Regarding trans-port changes,the net input along the central and western sections of the Himalayas shows a significant increasing trend,whereas the net input along the northern boundary and parts of southeastern Xizang exhibits a significant de-creasing trend.These findings offer important references for plateau water resource management,artificial weather modification for ecological restoration,and meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation.
余忠水;刘明竑;王美蓉;高佳佳;张伟华
西藏高原大气环境科学研究所,西藏 拉萨 850001||墨脱大气水分循环西藏自治区野外科学观测研究站,西藏 墨脱 860700||中国气象局日喀则国家气候观象台,西藏 日喀则 857000中国气象科学研究院,北京 100081南京信息工程大学,江苏 南京 210044西藏高原大气环境科学研究所,西藏 拉萨 850001||中国气象局日喀则国家气候观象台,西藏 日喀则 857000西藏自治区气候中心,西藏 拉萨 850001
西藏区域大气水分输送特征变化趋势净水汽通量
Xizang regionatmospheric watertransport characteristicsvariation trendnet moisture flux
《干旱区研究》 2026 (8)
1561-1574,14
西藏自治区科技计划项目(XZ202401YD0008)西藏自治区重大科技专项(XZ202402ZD0006)
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