广义随机后悔最小化模型的子集抽样估计OACHSSCD
Subset Sampling Estimation for Generalized Random Regret Minimization Model
广义随机后悔最小化(RRM)模型在大规模选择集下面临全样本极大似然估计计算量呈指数级增长的难题,为了减轻计算负担并保证估计量具有优良的统计性能,文章提出了一种基于备选方案子集抽样的参数估计方法.该方法从完整选择集中抽取包含被选方案的子集,通过引入抽样校正项来修正选择概率,采用仅依赖子集的近似后悔函数,辅以扩展因子来补偿信息损失.并进一步从理论上证明了该方法得到的估计量满足一致性和渐近正态性,且渐近效率与基于完整选项数据的极大似然估计相同.因此,所提方法可视为广义RRM模型中极大似然估计的一种有效扩展.通过蒙特卡罗模拟对比分析了全样本极大似然估计、截断模型、重复抽样校正法和总体份额校正法在平均偏差、均方根误差及运行时间上的表现,结果显示,所提方法在这三项指标上均表现良好.基于真实数据的实证分析结果进一步表明,随着抽样子集规模的扩大,参数估计值将逐步收敛于全样本极大似然估计结果,验证了所提方法的实用性与有效性.
The generalized Random Regret Minimization(RRM)model faces the problem that the computational cost of full-sample maximum likelihood estimation increases exponentially under large-scale choice sets.To reduce computational bur-den and guarantee favorable statistical performance of estimators,this paper proposes a parameter estimation method based on subset sampling of alternatives.The proposed method extracts a subset containing the chosen alternative from the complete choice set,corrects choice probabilities by introducing sampling correction terms,adopts an approximate regret function only relying on subsets,and compensates information loss with scaling factors.The paper further theoretically proves that the estimators obtained by this method satisfy consistency and asymptotic normality and share the same asymptotic efficiency as maximum likelihood esti-mation based on complete alternative data.Therefore,the proposed method can be regarded as an effective extension of maximum likelihood estimation in the generalized RRM model.In addition,the paper adopts Monte Carlo simulation to compare and analyze the performance of full-sample maximum likelihood estimation,truncated model,repeated sampling correction method and popu-lation share correction method in terms of average bias,root mean square error and running time.The results show that the pro-posed method performs well on all three indicators.Empirical analysis based on real data further indicates that parameter esti-mates gradually converge to the results of full-sample maximum likelihood estimation as the size of sampled subsets expands,which verifies the practicability and effectiveness of the proposed method.
刘常彪;何利萍;周路军
广西财经学院 中国-东盟统计学院,南宁 530007广西财经学院 中国-东盟统计学院,南宁 530007广西财经学院 中国-东盟统计学院,南宁 530007
数理科学
随机后悔最小化模型子集抽样选择集极大似然估计
Random Regret Minimization Modelsubset samplingchoice setmaximum likelihood estimation
《统计与决策》 2026 (15)
38-43,6
统计学广西一流学科建设项目(X1211900408009)广西高等教育本科教学改革工程重点项目(2023JGZ157)
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