互补效应下城市群多制式交通网络鲁棒性研究OA
Research on Robustness of Multi-Modal Transport Networks in Urban Agglomerations under Complementary Effects
[目的]城市群交通网络受内部失效、自然灾害或人为破坏等风险影响,极易导致功能碎片化,难以满足区域经济社会安全发展需求,如何提升城市群交通网络应对突发事件的能力是亟待解决的重要现实问题.[方法]首先,基于复杂网络理论,明确网络互补规则,构建城市群多制式交通网络.然后,利用引力模型计算节点失效后网络性能,进而测度城市群多制式交通网络鲁棒性.通过模拟随机攻击和蓄意攻击两种情景,分析节点失效对网络性能的影响,并进一步探讨观测信息模糊度对网络鲁棒性的影响.最后,以山东半岛城市群公路、铁路为例,对比分析考虑和不考虑互补效应时,节点失效对城市群交通网络鲁棒性的影响.[结果]结果表明:(1)无论是否考虑互补效应,公路网和普铁网的鲁棒性较强,高铁网的鲁棒性较弱;(2)相比于随机攻击,蓄意攻击下城市群交通网络的鲁棒性变化更加显著;(3)无论是否考虑互补效应,随着观测信息模糊度的增大,网络鲁棒性下降速度减缓.[结论]通过构建多制式交通网络并分析其鲁棒性,旨在为区域交通系统的安全性和稳定性提供理论支持.
[Objective]The urban agglomeration transport network is affected by risks such as internal failure,natural disasters,or man-made destruction,which can easily lead to functional fragmentation,making it difficult to meet the needs of safe development of regional economic and society.Therefore,how to improve the capability of urban agglomeration transport network to respond to emergencies is an important and practical issue that needs to be addressed urgently.[Methods]First,based on complex network theory,the network complementary rules were clarified,and the multi-modal transport network in urban agglomerations was constructed.Then,the gravity model was used to calculate network performance after node failure and measure the robustness of the urban agglomeration multi-modal transport network.By simulating two scenarios—random attack and deliberate attack—the impact of node failure on network performance was analyzed,and the effect of observation information ambiguity on network robustness was further explored.Finally,taking the highways and railways of the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration as an example,the impact of node failure on the robustness of urban agglomeration transport networks was compared and analyzed with and without considering the complementary effect.[Results]The results showed that:(1)the robustness of the highway network and the general railway networks was stronger,while that of the high-speed railway network was weaker,regardless of whether the complementary effect was considered or not.(2)The change in the robustness of the urban agglomeration transport network was more significant under deliberate attack than under random attack.(3)The decline rate of network robustness slowed down with the increase in the ambiguity of observation information,regardless of whether the complementary effect was considered or not.[Conclusion]By constructing a multi-modal transport network and analyzing its robustness,this study aims to provide theoretical support for the safety and stability of regional transport systems.
汤洪霞;李亚;李梦笛;邵志国
青岛理工大学管理工程学院,青岛 266520青岛理工大学管理工程学院,青岛 266520同济大学经济与管理学院,上海 200092青岛理工大学管理工程学院,青岛 266520||同济大学可持续发展与新型城镇化智库,上海 200092
交通工程
综合运输鲁棒性复杂网络理论交通网络互补效应
comprehensive transportationrobustnesscomplex network theorytransport networkcomplementary effect
《铁道标准设计》 2026 (8)
9-17,9
国家自然科学基金项目(72304161)山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2024QG020ZR2022QG029)
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