"优粮优产"导向下的农户粮食新品种选择行为研究OA
Farmers'Selection Behavior of New Grain Varieties under the Guidance of"High-quality Grain and High Yield":Based on Survey Data from Major Grain-Producing Provinces in China
[目的]探究"优粮优产"背景下驱动农户粮食新品种选择的主导因素及其影响机理,辨明市场利益导向与政策制度调控在粮食生产决策中的相对作用,为完善粮食安全政策体系提供微观决策依据.[方法]基于河南、山东、黑龙江等12个粮食主产区省份、860个种粮农户的调查数据,构建"利益驱动-政策推动-粮食新品种选择行为"的分析框架,采用二元Logit模型,实证检验了利益驱动和政策推动对农户粮食新品种选择行为的影响作用.[结果]基准回归结果表明,农户粮食新品种选择主要受外部政策推动,而内在利益驱动的影响相对较弱;进一步地,不同政策对农户新品种选择行为的影响效果存在差异,促进作用依次为:优粮补贴>技术培训>农业保险;异质性分析表明,利益驱动特征变量中的"收益增加",仅对参与合作社农户、非纯农户产生显著促进作用,且影响强度依次为玉米>小麦>稻米;政策推动变量中的"优粮补贴",对参与合作社农户和小麦种植促进作用更强,"农业保险"对参与合作社农户、非纯农户和稻米种植的促进作用更显著,而"技术培训"对未参与合作社农户、非纯农户和稻米种植的促进作用更为显著;机制分析表明,农户经营规模是影响农户粮食新品种选择的重要渠道,发挥中介效应.[结论]我国应以内在利益驱动为核心,激发农户粮食新品种种植积极性;以外部政策推动为重点,为农户粮食新品种选择提供有力支撑.
[Objective]This study explores the driving factors and influence mechanisms of farmers'grain new variety selection behaviors under the background of"high-quality grain and high yield"grain production,identifying the relative roles of market interest orientation and policy regulation in grain production decisions,providing micro-level decision-making basis for improving the food security policy system.[Method]Based on the survey data of 860 grain farmers in 12 major grain-producing provinces,including Henan,Shandong and Heilongjiang,we constructed the analytical framework of"profit-driven,policy-driven,and new variety selection behavior".Using a binary logit model,the effects of profit-driven and policy-driven on farmers'grain new variety selection behavior were empirically tested.[Results]The results show that farmers'grain new variety selection is mainly driven by external policies,while the influence of intrinsic interests is relatively weak.Furthermore,there are differences in the impact of different policies on farmers'grain new variety selection behavior,and the promotion effects ranked as:policy subsidies>technical training>agricultural insurance.Heterogeneity analysis shows that"revenue increase"in the profit-driven variables only has a significant promoting effect on farmers participating in cooperative and non-full-time farmers,with the impact intensity ranked as maize>wheat>rice.Among policy-driven variables,"policy subsidies"have a stronger promoting effect on farmers participating in cooperative and wheat farmers;"agricultural insurance"has a more significant promoting effect on farmers participating in cooperatives,non-full-time farmers and rice farmers;while"technical training"has a more significant promoting effect on farmers not participating in cooperative,non-full-time farmers and rice farmers.The mechanism analysis shows that scale of the farmer is an important parameter that affects farmers'high-quality grain new variety selection,and plays an intermediary effect.[Conclusion]China should take the internal interest drive as the core to stimulate the enthusiasm of farmers to plant grain new varieties;focusing on external policy promotion,it provides strong support for farmers'selection of new grain variety.
刘威;袁丽花;李琳;蔡莘
河南工业大学 管理学院,郑州 450001||中国粮食物流研究培训中心,郑州 450001河南工业大学 管理学院,郑州 450001河南工业大学 管理学院,郑州 450001河南工业大学 管理学院,郑州 450001
管理科学
粮食生产优质粮食农户行为新品种选择
grain productionhigh-quality grainfarmers'behaviornew variety selection
《沈阳农业大学学报》 2026 (4)
171-182,12
国家社会科学基金项目(21BJY060)国家自然科学基金青年项目(21802114)河南省自然科学基金面上项目(252300423112)河南省高校人文社科重点研究基地物流研究中心资助项目(2020-JD-04)
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