首页|期刊导航|护理研究|中国中老年人衰弱发展轨迹与童年不良经历的关联:基于10年随访数据的纵向研究

中国中老年人衰弱发展轨迹与童年不良经历的关联:基于10年随访数据的纵向研究OA

Association between on frailty development trajectories and adverse childhood experiences in Chinese middle-aged and older adults:a 10-year longitudinal study

中文摘要英文摘要

目的:分析我国中老年人10年衰弱发展轨迹与童年不良经历(ACEs)的关系,为生命历程导向的老龄健康促进策略制定提供依据.方法:利用中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)2011-2020年数据,通过组基轨迹建模识别中老年人衰弱发展轨迹,采用多项Logistic回归分析童年不良经历与衰弱发展轨迹之间的关系.结果:共纳入10 032名中老年人,基线衰弱指数为(0.14±0.09),78.86%的受访者报告至少经历过1种童年不良经历;我国中老年人衰弱发展存在3种轨迹类别,即稳定非衰弱型(65.9%)、临界转折型(23.9%)和衰弱加重型(10.1%).多项Logistic回归分析显示,童年不良经历与中老年人衰弱发展轨迹相关(P<0.05);童年不良经历暴露数量越多,我国中老年人归属于更严重衰弱发展轨迹组的相对风险越高(P<0.05).结论:童年不良经历与我国中老年人10年衰弱发展轨迹相关.提示童年不良经历可能是中老年期衰弱长期演变的重要远端风险因素,应从生命历程视角加强早期预防与老年期精准干预.

Objective:To examine the association between adverse childhood experiences(ACEs)and the 10-year frailty development trajectories in Chinese middle-aged and older adults,so as to provide evidence for life-course-oriented healthy ageing promotion strategies.Methods:Using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS)spanning 2011-2020,we identified frailty development trajectories through group-based trajectory modelling,and applied multinomial Logistic regression to analyse the relationship between ACEs and these trajectories.Results:A total of 10 032 middle-aged and older adults were included.The baseline frailty index was 0.14±0.09,and 78.86%of the respondents reported at least one ACE.Three frailty trajectories were identified in the Chinese sample:stable non-frailty(65.9%),critical turning point(23.9%),and progressive frailty(10.1%).Multinomial Logistic regression showed that ACEs were significantly associated with frailty trajectories(P<0.05),and a higher number of ACEs was associated with a higher relative risk of belonging to more severe frailty trajectory groups(P<0.05).Conclusions:ACEs are associated with the 10-year frailty development trajectories in Chinese middle-aged and older adults,suggesting that childhood adversity may be an important distal risk factor for the long-term evolution of frailty in later life.This highlights the need for early prevention from a life-course perspective and precise intervention in old age.

周秀秀;殷晓旭;龚言红

华中科技大学公共卫生学院社会医学与卫生事业管理系,湖北 430012华中科技大学公共卫生学院社会医学与卫生事业管理系,湖北 430012华中科技大学公共卫生学院社会医学与卫生事业管理系,湖北 430012

中老年人童年不良经历衰弱发展轨迹生命历程

middle-aged and older adultsadverse childhood experiencesfrailtydevelopment trajectorylife course

《护理研究》 2026 (17)

2975-2981,7

国家自然科学基金资助项目,编号:72404094湖北省卫健委资助项目,编号:WJ2025M151

10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.17.003

评论