基于MLP与iTransformer融合的中长期光伏发电功率预测OA
Medium-to-Long-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Based on MLP and iTransformer Fusion
为了提高光伏发电功率的中长期预测精度,提出一种基于多层感知机(MLP)与iTransformer融合的MLPformer模型,可实现光伏发电功率的精准有效预测.MLPformer创新性地将时间序列的变量相关性特征提取与时间特征提取分开进行,解决了现有单一模型对时间序列特征提取不足的问题;设计多层感知前馈(MLPforward)单元,提升iTransformer模型提取变量相关性特征的能力;设计多层感知机模块(MLPBlock),实现时间依赖性特征提取与非线性关系捕获.实验验证表明,该模型在中长期光伏发电功率预测中具备更高的准确率,在两个公开光伏发电数据集上,与当前最优的iTransformer模型相比,均方误差平均下降4.49%,平均绝对误差平均下降4.79%.
In order to improve the prediction accuracy of PV power in the medium-to-long-term,an MLPformer model based on the fusion of Multilayer Perceptron(MLP)and iTransformer is proposed,which can accurately and effectively predict PV power.MLPformer innovatively proposes to perform variable correlation,feature extraction,and temporal feature extraction for the time series separately.This approach solves the problem of insufficient feature extraction of time series by existing single models.The Multilayer Perceptron Feedforward(MLPforward)unit is designed to improve the ability of the iTransformer model to extract variable correlation features.Multilayer Perceptron Blcok(MLPBlock)is designed to extract time-dependent features and capture nonlinear relationships.It is experimentally verified that the model possesses higher accuracy in medium-to-long-term PV power prediction,and the model shows an average decrease of 4.49%in mean square error and 4.79%in mean absolute error compared with the current state-of-the-art iTransformer model on two publicly available PV power datasets.
王文;朱文忠;刘德飞;吴宇浩;罗缘
四川轻化工大学 计算机科学与工程学院,四川 宜宾 644000四川轻化工大学 计算机科学与工程学院,四川 宜宾 644000四川轻化工大学 计算机科学与工程学院,四川 宜宾 644000四川轻化工大学 计算机科学与工程学院,四川 宜宾 644000四川轻化工大学 计算机科学与工程学院,四川 宜宾 644000
信息技术与安全科学
iTransformer多层感知机特征融合光伏发电功率中长期预测
iTransformermultilayer perceptronfeature fusionmedium-to-long-term forecast of photovoltaic power
《四川轻化工大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026 (3)
68-77,10
四川省科技计划重点研发项目(2023YFS0371)四川省科技创新(苗子工程)培育项目(2022049)企业信息化与物联网测控技术四川省高校重点实验室开放基金项目(2024WYJ03)四川省智慧旅游研究基地项目(ZHYJ24-01)
评论