首页|期刊导航|气象科技进展|长三角地区垂直观测系统模拟试验个例分析

长三角地区垂直观测系统模拟试验个例分析OA

Case Study of Vertical Observing System Simulation Experiment(OSSE) in Yangtze River Delta

中文摘要英文摘要

采用美国国家航空航天局(NASA)全球模式与资料同化办公室(GMAO)发布的G5NR(GEOS-5 Nature Run)数据集,基于WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)模式和GSI(Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation)同化系统,设计了长三角地区由风廓线雷达和地基微波辐射计组成的垂直观测系统模拟试验(OSSE),针对两种不同密度的风廓线雷达和地基微波辐射计观测站网布局,对一次典型降水过程预报进行了分析和评估.结果表明:同化风廓线雷达观测资料对模式的风场预报产生正效果,但效果改进时效为12 h以内;同化微波辐射计资料对模式的温度、湿度场预报产生明显正效果,对湿度场的改进作用可以从地表延伸至400 hPa以上,改进时效达到24 h;同化微波辐射计对于小到中雨量级的降雨TS评分有正效果,对大雨以上量级没有效果.相关结论有望为现有观测站网的评估和未来站网布局设计提供参考.

This study adopts the GEOS-5 Nature Run(G5NR)dataset released by the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office(GMAO)of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA).Using the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model and Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation(GSI)assimilation system,we design observing system simulation experiment(OSSE)for the vertical observation network composed of wind profiler radars and ground-based microwave radiometers over the Yangtze River Delta.A typical precipitation event forecast is analyzed and evaluated with two layouts of observation networks featuring different station densities for the above two instruments.The results show that assimilating wind profiler radar data yields positive effects on wind field forecasts,with effective improvement limited to within 12 h.The assimilation of microwave radiometer data remarkably improves temperature and humidity field forecasts.Its favorable effects on humidity fields extend from the surface to above 400 hPa and last up to 24 h.In terms of precipitation verification,assimilating microwave radiometer data increases the Threat Score(TS)for light to moderate rain,while no noticeable improvement is found for heavy rain and above.The conclusions can provide references for the assessment of current observation networks and the design of future network layouts.

何筱川;穆海振;陈浩君;王亚东;王平

上海市气象信息与技术支持中心,上海 200030上海市气象局观测与预报处,上海 200030上海市气象信息与技术支持中心,上海 200030上海市气象信息与技术支持中心,上海 200030上海市气象服务中心,上海 200030

天文与地球科学

观测系统模拟试验(OSSE)数值模拟资料同化风廓线雷达地基微波辐射计

observing system simulation Experiment(OSSE)numerical simulationdata assimilationwind profiler radarground-based microwave radiometer

《气象科技进展》 2026 (3)

34-40,7

国家重点研发计划(2017YFC1501701)

10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2026.03.004

评论