2024年WMO-WIPPS项目主要世界气象中心发展概述OA
Annual Review of WMO-WIPPS and the Development of Key World Meteorological Centres in 2024
在全球气候变化加剧与极端天气频发的背景下,WMO综合处理和预测系统(WIPPS)作为WMO框架下的核心系统,其主导地位越发凸显.本研究跟踪2024年WIPPS系统及其框架下主要世界气象中心的发展动态,剖析其活动调整、系统升级、试点项目及各中心的特色工作,并依据相关战略计划探讨其未来发展.研究表明:1)2024年WIPPS在业务与中心认定层面成果显著.专业业务新增全球气候再分析等,凸显对气候变化及环境问题的关注;中心认定范围扩大,如新增"北极区域气候中心网络"等.2)WIPPS系统对部分系统模块进行了升级迭代,大幅度提高了预报的时空分辨率与参数覆盖范围,为全球用户提供了更精确、更详细的气象信息.3)热带气旋、人工智能、多模式集成等试点项目并行推进,有力驱动了气象预报技术创新.4)2024年各主要世界气象中心在预报系统升级、服务渠道创新、培训与知识共享等方面取得多项特色进展.5)基于联合国全民早期预警倡议和WMO战略计划,WIPPS未来需要向服务导向转变,加强多方面合作与交流,推进水文等新试点项目,提升数据质量与预测准确度,以应对气候变化挑战,提升全球气象服务水平,为全球灾害防范等提供有力支撑.
In the context of escalating global climate change and frequent extreme weather events,WIPPS,a core system under the WMO framework,is playing an increasingly prominent leading role.This study comprehensively tracks the developments of the WIPPS and the key global meteorological centres under its framework in 2024,providing an in-depth analysis of their activity adjustments,system upgrades,pilot projects,and the unique work of each centre.It also discusses their future directions based on related strategic plans.The research findings are as follows:1)In 2024,WIPPS achieved significant results in both operational service and centre recognition.New professional operations were added,including global climate reanalysis,highlighting the focus on climate change and environmental issues.Additionally,the scope of centre recognition was expanded,such as the inclusion of the"Arctic Regional Climate Centre Network".2)The WIPPS system underwent upgrades and iterations for several modules,significantly improving the temporal and spatial resolution of forecast data and expanding the range of parameter coverage,thereby providing more precise and detailed meteorological information to global users.3)Pilot projects,including tropical cyclones,artificial intelligence,and multi-model integration,were promoted in parallel,effectively driving innovations in meteorological forecasting technology.4)In 2024,key global meteorological centres made notable progress in forecast system upgrades,service channel innovations,and training and knowledge sharing.5)Based on the United Nations Early Warnings for All initiative and the WMO strategic plan,WIPPS needs to transition towards a more service-oriented model in the future.It is expected to strengthen multi-faceted cooperation and exchange,advance new pilot projects such as those in hydrology,and improve data quality and forecasting accuracy,so as to address climate change challenges,enhance global meteorological services and provide robust support for global disaster mitigation and prevention.
张滨冰;吕丽莉;王淼淼;刘爽;周勇
中国气象局气象发展与规划院,北京 100081中国气象局气象发展与规划院,北京 100081中国气象局气象发展与规划院,北京 100081国家气象中心(中央气象台),北京 100081中国气象局气象发展与规划院,北京 100081
天文与地球科学
WIPPS世界气象中心区域专业气象中心试点项目
WIPPSworld meteorological centreregional specialized meteorological centrepilot projects
《气象科技进展》 2026 (3)
28-33,55,7
中国气象局气象发展与规划院专项研究项目(ZCXM2025009,JCXM2025007)
评论