天然气流量计算机端点控制小样本校准策略与不确定度评定OA
Small Sample Calibration Strategy and Uncertainty Evaluation for Endpoint Control of Natural Gas Flow Computers
提出一种天然气流量计算机端点控制的小样本校准策略.构建2025年度国内主要输气管网现场实测的533台主流流量计算机计量数据库,基于普通最小二乘法分析了全量程范围内的示值误差线性度,建立了仅依赖最小流量点Qmin与最大流量点Qmax的线性预测模型,结合Monte Carlo仿真与JJF 1059.1-2012规范,对简化模型引入的插值误差与不确定度分量进行了量化评估.结果表明:样本中67.54%的设备示值误差与标准流量表现出极高的线性相关性,决定系数R²均值达到0.99;相较于传统五点法,该策略在中间流量点引入的插值误差在96%置信水平下小于0.02%,远低于最大允许误差;且国产设备与国际主流设备均表现出一致的优异线性特征.在保证计量准确度和溯源性的前提下,能显著减少现场校准作业时间与天然气损耗,提升管网计量管理的经济性.
A small-sample calibration strategy based on endpoint control of natural gas flow computers is proposed.A metrological database covering 533 mainstream flow computers from field measurements across China's major gas transmission networks in 2025 was constructed.The linearity of indication errors across the full scale was analyzed using generalized linear models.Based on this,a linear prediction model relying solely on the minimum flow point Qmin and maximum flow point Qmax was established.The interpolation error and uncertainty components introduced by the simplified model were quantitatively evaluated through Monte Carlo simulation and in accordance with JJF 1059.1-2012.Results show that 67.54%of the sampled devices exhibit extremely high linear correlation between indication error and standard flow,with a mean coefficient of determination R² of 0.99.Compared to the traditional five-point method,the interpolation error introduced at intermediate flow points remains below 0.02%at a 96%confidence level—significantly lower than the maximum permissible error.Both domestic and international mainstream equipment demonstrate consistent excellent linear characteristics.This small-sample calibration strategy significantly reduces on-site calibration time and natural gas loss while maintaining measurement accuracy and traceability,thereby enhancing the economic efficiency of pipeline metrological management.
裴全斌;青青;周雷;薛永鑫;吴世杰
国家管网集团西气东输公司 武汉计量研究中心,湖北 武汉 430073国家管网集团西气东输公司 武汉计量研究中心,湖北 武汉 430073国家管网集团西气东输公司 武汉计量研究中心,湖北 武汉 430073国家管网集团西气东输公司 武汉计量研究中心,湖北 武汉 430073国家管网集团西气东输公司 武汉计量研究中心,湖北 武汉 430073
通用工业技术
流量计量流量计算机示值误差特性小样本校准线性回归不确定度评定天然气贸易
flow metrologyflow computerindication error characteristicssmall-sample calibrationlinear regressionuncertainty evaluationnatural gas trade
《计量学报》 2026 (7)
1016-1023,8
国家管网集团科技项目(XQDS-SSCC20250)
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