碳税对海外油气上游项目投资者收益的影响OACHSSCD
The impact of carbon taxes on investment returns of overseas oil and gas upstream projects
碳税作为油气上游项目的一项成本支出,会影响投资者的投资收益.重点分析矿税制合同和产品分成合同模式下碳税对油气上游项目投资者收益的影响,研究结果表明,碳税对油气上游项目投资者收益的影响由项目综合有效税率决定.在矿税制合同和产品分成合同两种合同模式下,碳税均可抵税.在矿税制合同模式下,考虑矿区使用费后的综合有效税率越高,对投资者收益影响越大;在产品分成合同模式下,考虑利润油气分成后的综合有效税率越高,对投资者收益影响越大.在两种合同模式下,碳税都会降低投资者收益,甚至会影响油气上游项目投资决策,建议中国石油公司分步完善海外油气上游项目碳税影响相关研究与业务布局.
As a cost item for upstream oil and gas projects,carbon taxes will inevitably affect investors'returns.This paper focuses on analyzing the impact of carbon taxes on investor returns in upstream oil and gas projects under the royalty and tax contract model as well as the production sharing contract model.The results show that the impact of carbon taxes on project returns is determined by the project's composite effective tax rate.Under both contract models,carbon taxes are tax-deductible.Under the royalty and tax contract model,the higher the composite effective tax rate including royalties,the greater the impact on investor returns.Under the production sharing contract model,the higher the composite effective tax rate including profit oil/gas sharing,the more significant impact on investor returns.Under both models,carbon taxes would reduce investor returns and may even affect investment decisions of upstream oil and gas projects.It is recommended that Chinese oil companies gradually improve their research and business arrangements.
孙杜芬;徐宁;赵蒙;诸鸣;彭云;尹秀玲;李浩武
中国石油勘探开发研究院中国石油国际勘探开发有限公司中国石油勘探开发研究院中国石油勘探开发研究院中国石油勘探开发研究院中国石油勘探开发研究院中国石油勘探开发研究院
管理科学
碳税产品分成合同矿税制合同所得税综合有效税率油气上游投资收益
carbon taxproduct sharing contractsroyalty and tax contractincome taxeffective tax rateoil and gas upstream businessinvestment income
《国际石油经济》 2026 (7)
90-96,7
海外项目全生命周期资产运营管理研究(项目编号:2026ZYGJCQ002)
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