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新质生产力对四川省天然气产业高质量发展的影响效应分析OACHSSCD

The effects of new quality productive forces on the high-quality development of Sichuan province's natural gas industry

中文摘要英文摘要

发展新质生产力是推动四川省天然气产业高质量发展的内在要求和重要着力点.立足"新质劳动者、优质劳动对象、先进劳动资料"三大要素构建新质生产力发展水平测度体系,从"安全稳定、经济可行、低碳环保"三维耦合协调视角评估天然气产业高质量发展水平.基于此,采用绝对β收敛和条件β收敛分析模型实证检验新质生产力对四川省天然气产业高质量发展的影响效应.结果表明:1)四川省区域新质生产力发展水平在2010-2023年稳健上升,这缘于西部大开发战略定位红利,以及政策法规驱动下科技成果的有效转化.2)得益于资源禀赋优势以及质量、效率和动力三大变革,四川省区域天然气产业高质量发展水平不断提升.3)在新质生产力影响下,产业高质量发展特征随时间演化收敛至稳定态势,但受边际效应影响收敛速度有所放缓.纳入控制变量后出现条件β收敛现象,即在外部环境约束下产业高质量发展特征仍呈现朝向稳态的良好发展趋势,但在规模效应和累积效应作用下日益暴露出单一能源利用的深度脱碳局限.经济发展和政府干预有利于缓解产业高质量发展的不均衡情况,产业结构和人力资本则产生阻碍作用.

Developing new quality productive forces is an inherent requirement and a key focal point for promoting the high-quality development of Sichuan's natural gas industry.The paper constructs a measurement system for the development level of new quality productive forces based on such three major elements as new-quality laborers,advanced means of labor,and high-quality objects of labor,evaluates the high-quality development level of the natural gas industry from the perspective of the three-dimensional coupling coordination of safety and stability,economic feasibility,and low-carbon environmental protection,and empirically examines the impact of new quality productive forces on the high-quality development of Sichuan's natural gas industry using both absolute β-convergence and conditional β-convergence models on this basis.The results show that the development level of regional new quality productive forces steadily increased from 2010 to 2023,attributable to the strategic dividends of the large-scale development of the country's western regions and the effective transformation of scientific and technological achievements driven by policies and regulations,the high-quality development level of the regional natural gas industry continued to improve due to resource endowment advantages and the three major transformations in quality,efficiency,and growth drivers,the characteristics of high-quality industrial development converged to a stable state over time but the convergence rate slowed due to marginal effects under the influence of new quality productive forces,and conditional β-convergence emerged after incorporating control variables,indicating that under external environmental constraints,the high-quality development characteristics of the industry still exhibited a positive trend toward stability.Nevertheless,driven by scale and cumulative effects,the limitations of deep decarbonization in the utilization of a single energy source became increasingly apparent.Economic development and government intervention help alleviate imbalances in high-quality industrial development,whereas industrial structure and human capital would exert inhibitory effects.

李乔楚;罗平亚;张鹏

西南石油大学西南石油大学西南石油大学

管理科学

新质生产力天然气产业高质量发展耦合协调度

new quality productive forcesnatural gas industryhigh-quality developmentcoupling coordination degree

《国际石油经济》 2026 (7)

9-21,13

国家社会科学基金重大项目"能源革命驱动下的天然气产业高质量发展路径研究"(项目编号:22&ZD105)四川石油天然气发展研究中心2025年度课题"中国天然气产业高质量发展的'能源三角可能理论'研究"(项目编号:2025SY002).

10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.07.002

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