少数民族地区易地扶贫搬迁农户返贫风险研究OACHSSCD

Effective prevention and control of the risk of returning to poverty after poverty alleviation is a key issue for stabilizing the achievements of poverty alleviation and realizing rural revitalization.This study takes the relocated farmers in Ninglang Yi Autonomous County of Yunnan Province as the research object.Based on 758 valid questionnaire data,an index system,covering three dimensions of sudden livelihood background risk,endogenous livelihood ability risk and livelihood adaptability risk,is constructed to systematically evaluate the risks of poverty returning,risk level of relocated farmers and its influencing factors by using comprehensive index method and contribution analysis model.The study found that:1)The overall risk of relocated farmers returning to poverty shows an olive-shaped distribution pattern of larger in the middle and smaller at both ends,with the proportion of moderate risk(73.39％)being the highest,so the overall risk is higher.2)There are significant differences in the risk of returning to poverty among farmers with different livelihood strategies.The risk of subsidy dependence is the highest,and that of migrant workers is the lowest.3)Livelihood adaptability risk is the dominant factor affecting the return to poverty,and its contribution(4.511％)is much higher than that of sudden livelihood background risk(2.445％)and endogenous livelihood ability risk(0.692％).4)Economic adaptation,life adaptation,health risk,policy risk and physical capital are the key driving factors for the risk of returning to poverty.Based on this,we propose that the three paths:enhancing livelihood resilience,constructing early warning mechanism and optimizing resource allocation,should be built to block the risk of returning to poverty.This study provides theoretical reference and policy enlightenment for consolidating the achievements of poverty alleviation and realizing rural revitalization in ethnic minority areas.