基于机器学习和优化AI算法预测壳芯强度OA
Strength Prediction of Shell Core Using Machine Learning and Optimized AI Algorithms
准确可靠的壳芯强度预测,对提升铸造工艺性能、实现制造过程中材料的高效利用具有重要意义.本研究基于所构建的数据库,结合皮尔逊相关系数及SHAP分析,探讨了8种机器学习算法在预测壳芯抗拉强度方面的适用性.结果表明:XGBoost与GBR模型拟合效果优异,其决定系数(R2)分别达到93.5%和92.1%,同时均方误差、平均绝对误差和均方根误差等指标也维持在较低水平;对输入特征的重要性进行SHAP分析,发现树脂含量与乌洛托品含量是影响抗拉强度的关键变量;XGBoost与GBR模型预测稳定性较优,其预测值与实测值高度吻合,变化趋势一致.综上所述,本研究证实基于机器学习的建模方法可有效实现壳芯抗拉强度的预测,相较于传统分析手段,其在预测能力方面具有明显优势.
Reliable shell core strength prediction is essential for improving the casting process performance and ensuring efficient material utilization in manufacturing processes.Based on the constructed database,and combined with Pearson correlation coefficient and SHAP analysis,this study explores the applicability of eight machine learning techniques to predict the tensile strength of shell cores.The results show that the XGBoost and GBR models achieve excellent fitting performance,with determination coefficient(R2)of 93.5%and 92.1%,respectively,along with comparatively lower mean squared error(MSE),mean absolute error(MAE),and root mean squared error(RMSE).Feature importance analysis using SHAP identifies that the resin and urotropine contents are dominant variables influencing the tensile strength.The XGBoost and GBR models show better predictive stability,as their predictions closely match observed values and exhibit consistent trends.Overall,the findings highlight the effectiveness of machine learning-based modelling for tensile strength estimation of shell cores,offering improved predictive capability relative to traditional analytical approaches.
于成;刘建平;陆仕平
浙江万丰轻合金研究院有限公司,浙江新昌 312500浙江万丰摩轮有限公司,浙江新昌 312500浙江万丰轻合金研究院有限公司,浙江新昌 312500
矿业与冶金
铸造壳型成形拉伸性能机器学习强度预测SHAP分析AI算法
foundryshell mold formingtensile propertymachine learningstrength predictionSHAP analysisAI algorithm
《铸造》 2026 (8)
885-892,8
浙江省工程研究中心"汽车轻合金铸件数字孪生关键技术与应用"项目(ZJTX2305).
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