细针吸取细胞学检查和细针吸取洗脱液降钙素测定诊断甲状腺髓样癌荟萃分析OA
Fine-needle aspiration cytology and fine-needle aspirate calci-tonin measurement for diagnosing medullary thyroid carci-noma:a meta-analysis
目的:系统性评价细针吸取细胞学检查(FNAC)、细针吸取洗脱液降钙素测定(FNA-CT)对甲状腺髓样癌(MTC)的诊断价值.方法:检索中英文数据库中公开发表的有关FNAC、FNA-CT诊断MTC的相关文献,检索时限为1995年1月1日至2024年12月31日.采用QUADAS-2量表评价纳入文献质量,应用Stata 16.0软件进行荟萃分析,采用Spearman秩相关检验评估阈值效应,采用Cochran's Q检验及I2统计量评价异质性,并根据异质性大小选择固定效应模型或随机效应模型.基于所选模型,结合敏感度、特异度、阳性似然比、阴性似然比及诊断比值比绘制汇总受试者操作特征曲线(SROC)和森林图,以评估诊断效能.进一步采用meta回归分析探讨异质性来源,绘制Deeks漏斗图评估发表偏倚,并采用Fagan图和似然比点状图评价临床效用.结果:最终纳入13篇文献进行分析,共937例患者,444个MTC病变.Spearman秩相关检验显示,FNAC诊断MTC未见明显阈值效应,FNA-CT诊断MTC可能存在阈值效应.异质性检验结果显示,FNAC和FNA-CT各诊断效能指标均存在不同程度异质性,故均采用随机效应模型进行合并分析.FNAC诊断MTC的敏感度为0.56(95%CI:0.51~0.61),特异度为0.98(95%CI:0.94~1.00),阳性似然比为34.25(95%CI:8.98~130.62),阴性似然比为0.45(95%CI:0.39~0.51),诊断比值比为76.97(95%CI:18.72~316.52);FNA-CT诊断MTC的敏感度为0.98(95%CI:0.94~0.99),特异度为 0.97(95%CI:0.94~0.99),阳性似然比为37.42(95%CI:16.91~82.80),阴性似然比为0.02(95%CI:0.01~0.06),诊断比值比为1891.55(95%CI:351.09~10 191.13).FNAC和FNA-CT诊断MTC的SROC曲线下面积分别为0.65和1.00.meta回归分析提示FNAC异质性可能与研究设计和检测方法有关,FNA-CT未发现显著异质性来源;两者可能均存在发表偏倚.Fagan图和似然比点状图显示,FNA-CT对MTC的确诊和排除均具有较高临床价值,而FNAC对MTC具有较好的确诊价值,但排除价值相对有限.结论:FNA-CT对MTC具有较高的诊断价值,其总体诊断效能优于FNAC. 本研究已在国际系统评价前瞻性注册数据库(PROSPERO)注册(CRD420251243 288),并遵循诊断试验准确性研究系统评价和荟萃分析报告规范(PRISMA-DTA)2018.
Objective:To systematically evaluate the diagnostic value of fine-needle aspiration cytology(FNAC)and fine-needle aspirate calcitonin(FNA-CT)measurement in medullary thyroid carcinoma(MTC).Methods:Relevant studies evaluating FNAC and FNA-CT for the diagnosis of MTC were systematically searched in Chinese and English databases from January 1,1995 to December 31,2024.The methodological quality of the included studies was assessed using the QUADAS-2,and meta-analysis was performed using Stata 16.0.The threshold effect was evaluated using the Spearman correlation test,and heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q test and the I2 statistic.A fixed-effects or random-effects model was selected according to the degree of heterogeneity.The pooled sensitivity,specificity,positive likelihood ratio,negative likelihood ratio,and diagnostic odds ratio were calculated,and summary receiver operating characteristic(SROC)curves and forest plots were generated to evaluate diagnostic performance.Meta-regression analysis was further conducted to explore potential sources of heterogeneity.Deeks'funnel plot was used to assess publication bias,while Fagan nomogram and the likelihood ratio scattergram were used to evaluate clinical utility.Results:A total of 13 studies involving 937 patients with 444 MTC lesions were finally included.The Spearman correlation test showed no obvious threshold effect for FNAC in diagnosing MTC,whereas a potential threshold effect was observed for FNA-CT.Heterogeneity analysis revealed varying degrees of heterogeneity across the diagnostic performance indicators of both FNAC and FNA-CT;therefore,random-effects models were used for pooled analysis.For FNAC,the pooled sensitivity,specificity,positive likelihood ratio,negative likelihood ratio,and diagnostic odds ratio were 0.56(95%CI:0.51-0.61),0.98(95%CI:0.94-1.00),34.25(95%CI:8.98-130.62),0.45(95%CI:0.39-0.51),and 76.97(95%CI:18.72-316.52),respectively.For FNA-CT,the corresponding values were 0.98(95%CI:0.94-0.99),0.97(95%CI:0.94-0.99),37.42(95%CI:16.91-82.80),0.02(95%CI:0.01-0.06),and 1891.55(95%CI:351.09-10 191.13),respectively.The SROC AUCs of FNAC and FNA-CT for diagnosing MTC were 0.65 and 1.00,respectively.Meta-regression analysis suggested that the heterogeneity of FNAC might be related to study design and detection method,whereas no significant source of heterogeneity was identified for FNA-CT.Possible publication bias was detected for both methods.Both Fagan nomogram analysis and likelihood ratio scattergram analysis showed that FNA-CT had high clinical value for both confirming and excluding MTC,whereas FNAC had good value for confirming MTC but limited value for excluding it.Conclusion:FNA-CT demonstrates high diagnostic value for MTC,with overall diagnostic efficacy superior to that of FNAC. This study has been registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews(PROSPERO,CRD420251243288)and was conducted and reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies(PRISMA-DTA)2018.
张建华;于俊康;黄晨昊;张明皇;张康辉;孟柠
杭州师范大学附属医院甲乳外科,浙江 杭州 310015杭州师范大学附属医院甲乳外科,浙江 杭州 310015杭州师范大学附属医院甲乳外科,浙江 杭州 310015杭州师范大学附属医院甲乳外科,浙江 杭州 310015杭州师范大学附属医院甲乳外科,浙江 杭州 310015杭州师范大学附属医院甲乳外科,浙江 杭州 310015
医药卫生
甲状腺髓样癌诊断细针吸取细胞学检查细针吸取洗脱液降钙素测定荟萃分析
Medullary thyroid carcinomaDiagnosisFine-needle aspiration cytologyFine-needle aspirate calcitoninMeta-analysis
《浙江大学学报(医学版)》 2026 (6)
561-570,10
杭州市生物医药和健康产业发展扶持科技专项(2023WJC007)This study was supported by Hangzhou Science and Technology Program for Supporting the Develop-ment of the Biomedical and Health Industry(2023WJC007)
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