政策工具视角下上海市生育支持政策的文本量化研究OA

Objective This study aims to analyze the formulation characteristics of fertility support policies in Shanghai and to provide references for optimizing Shanghai's fertility support policy system,further improving residents'fertility intentions.Method Based on the perspective of policy instruments,a three-dimensional analytical framework encompassing policy instruments,policy categories,and policy intervention stages was constructed to systematically evaluate fertility support policy documents issued in Shanghai from 2014 to 2025.Results A total of 89 policy documents were collected,yielding 429 coded analysis units.Among them,supply-oriented policy instruments accounted for the largest share(173,40.33%),followed by environment-oriented policy instruments(170,39.63%),while demand-oriented policy instruments accounted for the smallest share(86,20.04%).In terms of policy intervention stages,the largest proportion of policy measures targeted the fertility stage(220,51.28%),whereas the marriage stage received the fewest(13,3.03%),indicating a pattern of greater emphasis on the fertility than on marriage.Conclusions Fertility support policies in Shanghai exhibited an imbalanced distribution of policy instruments and uneven coverage across intervention stages.Further efforts are needed to optimize the mix of policy instruments,improve coordination across policy intervention stages,refine policy categories,and strengthen policy communication,so as to foster a more supportive fertility environment and promote fertility intentions.