"丝路电商"合作下中国对"一带一路"共建国家数字服务贸易出口效率与潜力研究OACHSSCD
Efficiency and potential of China's digital service trade exports to Belt and Road Initiative partner countries under"Silk Road E-commerce"cooperation
自开展"数字丝绸之路"建设以来,中国与"一带一路"共建国家在数字技术合作、数字基础设施建设、数字服务贸易与跨境电商等领域取得了显著成效,数字服务贸易成为中国与"一带一路"共建国家开展经贸合作新的增长点.基于"丝路电商"合作背景,以2005-2023年57个"一带一路"共建国家为样本,采用随机前沿引力模型分析中国对"一带一路"共建国家数字服务贸易出口效率与潜力,并根据测算所得的效率均值划分市场类型,进一步探析数字服务贸易区域异质性.研究发现,中国与"一带一路"共建国家各自的经济规模、共同语言等因素有利于中国数字服务贸易出口,而双方的人口规模、地理距离等因素则不利于数字服务贸易出口."丝路电商"合作、互联网普及率、政府效能、经济自由度、与中国签订自贸协定等因素均能有效降低贸易非效率的影响,而对外直接投资不是影响数字服务贸易出口效率的主要因素.整体来看,中国对"一带一路"共建国家数字服务贸易出口效率相对较高,潜力较大.从出口效率来看,中国对"一带一路"共建国家数字服务贸易出口效率较高的是阿联酋、马来西亚和沙特阿拉伯等国家,较低的是东帝汶、尼泊尔和老挝等国家;从出口潜力变化趋势来看,东盟和西亚地区将成为中国数字服务贸易出口潜力最大的两个地区,而中国对中亚、中东欧等地区的数字服务贸易出口潜力增长则相对缓慢.据此,提出持续深化"丝路电商"合作、扩大数字贸易制度型开放、提高政府服务效能、创新数字贸易合作方式等对策建议,以不断释放"丝路电商"国际合作框架下的数字贸易红利.
Since China began the construction of the"Digital Silk Road",significant achievements have been made in areas such as digital technology cooperation,digital infrastructure construction,digital service trade,and cross-border e-commerce with the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)partner countries.Digital service trade has become a new growth point for economic and trade cooperation between China and BRI partner countries.Based on the background of"Silk Road E-commerce"cooperation,this paper takes 57 BRI partner countries from 2005 to 2023 as samples,employs a stochastic frontier gravity model to analyze the efficiency and potential of China's digital service trade exports to these countries,and divides market types based on the calculated mean efficiency value to further explore the regional heterogeneity of digital service trade.This paper finds that factors such as the respective economic scale of China and these countries and a common language between them are conducive to China's digital service trade exports,while factors such as population size and geographical distance hinder such exports.Factors such as"Silk Road E-commerce"cooperation,internet penetration rate,government efficiency,economic freedom,and the signing of free trade agreements with China can effectively reduce the impact of trade inefficiency,while foreign direct investment is not a major factor affecting the efficiency of digital service trade exports.Overall,China's digital service trade exports to BRI partner countries exhibit relatively high efficiency and great potential.Specifically,efficiency is higher in countries such as the United Arab Emirates,Malaysia,and Saudi Arabia,and lower in countries such as Timor-Leste,Nepal,and Laos.In terms of the trend of export potential changes,the Association of Southeast Asian Nations(ASEAN)and West Asia regions will be the two regions with the greatest potential for China's digital service trade exports,while the growth of the potential for China's digital service trade exports to Central Asia,Central and Eastern Europe,and other regions is relatively slow.Based on these findings,this paper proposes countermeasures and suggestions such as continuously deepening"Silk Road E-commerce"cooperation,expanding institutional opening up in digital trade,improving government service efficiency,and innovating digital trade cooperation methods,in order to continuously release the digital trade dividends under the international cooperation framework of"Silk Road E-commerce".
李光辉;郑雅元;刘新文
广西大学经济学院,广西南宁 530004广西大学经济学院,广西南宁 530004||北部湾大学经济管理学院,广西钦州 535011广西大学经济学院,广西南宁 530004||北部湾大学经济管理学院,广西钦州 535011
管理科学
"丝路电商"合作数字服务贸易一带一路随机前沿引力模型
"Silk Road E-commerce"cooperationdigital service tradeBelt and Road Initiativestochastic frontier gravity model
《沈阳工业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026 (3)
61-71,11
国家自然科学基金项目(72441006)广西壮族自治区哲学社会科学研究课题(24JYF013)钦州市科学研究与技术开发计划项目(20233220).
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