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生猪产业集聚对生猪养殖碳排放的影响及空间效应分析OA

The Impact and Spatial Effects of Pig Industry Agglomeration on Carbon Emissions from Pig Farming

中文摘要英文摘要

基于2007-2022年中国31个省(市、区)的面板数据,使用区位熵和LCA方法分别测算了生猪产业集聚度及其碳排放量,然后构建空间杜宾模型(SDM)分析了生猪产业集聚对生猪养殖碳排放的具体影响及其空间溢出效应.结果表明:(1)生猪产业呈现明显的聚集效应,其碳排放量在整体上呈现先上升后下降再上升的变化趋势;(2)生猪产业集聚对生猪养殖碳排放存在明显的"倒U型"非线性影响,即随着生猪产业集聚水平的提升,生猪养殖碳排放表现出先促进后抑制的特征;(3)生猪产业集聚对生猪养殖碳排放具有显著的空间溢出效应,并表现为区域间溢出和区域内溢出合并效应.因此,建议合理规划生猪养殖空间布局,制定差异化的政策措施,加强生猪产业链整合与创新,实现生猪产业减排与增效"双赢"的发展格局.

Based on provincial panel data from 31 provinces(cities,districts)in China from 2007 to 2022,this study used location quotients and Life Cycle Assessment(LCA)to measure the agglomeration degree of the pig farming industry and its carbon emissions.Subsequently,a Spatial Durbin Model(SDM)was constructed to analyze the specific impact of industrial agglomeration on carbon emissions in the pig farming sector,along with its spatial spillover effects.The results indicate:(1)the pig farming exhibits a clear agglomeration effect,with its carbon emissions showing an overall trend of rising initially,then de-clining,and subsequently rising again.(2)The agglomeration of pig industry has an obvious"inverted U-shaped"nonlinear effect on carbon emissions from pig farming,meaning that as the level of industry ag-glomeration increases,pork production-related carbon emissions initially promote growth but eventually inhibit it.(3)The agglomeration of the pig industry has significant spatial spillover effects on carbon emis-sions from pig farming,characterized by both inter-regional spillovers and intra-regional spillovers,form-ing a combined effect.Therefore,it is recommended to rationally plan the spatial layout of pig farming,develop differentiated policy measures,strengthen the integration and innovation of the swine industry chain,and ensure a balanced development pattern that promotes both emission reduction and efficiency en-hancement in the swine industry.

谢艳华;杨亦民

湖南农业大学,湖南长沙 410000湖南农业大学,湖南长沙 410000

农业科技

生猪产业集聚生猪养殖碳排放空间杜宾模型空间溢出效应

pig farming industry agglomerationcarbon emissions from pig farmingSDMspatial spillover effect

《家畜生态学报》 2026 (8)

67-76,10

湖南省普通高等学校教学改革重点项目(HNJG-20230408)湖南省自然科学基金项目(2024JJ5211)

10.3969/j.issn.1673-1182.2026.08.009

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