基于共词聚类分析的中国耕地保护政策演变态势分析OACHSSCD
Analysis of the evolution trend of China's cultivated land protection policies based on co-word cluster analysis
量化分析揭示土地保护政策变迁规律,为政策持续精细化、规范化提供科学依据.以中国1986-2024年颁布的157份耕地保护政策文件为研究对象,确定每份政策文献2~4个主题词,通过词频统计找出高频主题词建立共词矩阵,利用SPSS21.0进行聚类分析,探究政策聚焦点的时代演变.结果表明:中国耕地保护政策历经数量管控主导期、数量严控与质量萌芽期、量质制度化并重期和三位一体深化期4个阶段.数量管控主导阶段初步构建法律框架,以遏制耕地流失为主;数量严控与质量萌芽阶段政策重心转向"数量保护+用途管制";量质制度化并重阶段由"保数量"转向"数量+质量"双重保护;三位一体深化阶段向"数量、质量、生态"三位一体保护转变,政策体系趋于成熟.共词与聚类分析有效揭示了政策变迁轨迹及驱动逻辑,不同阶段政策聚焦点不同且逐渐多元化,从单一数量管控逐步升级为多维协同治理,进一步揭示了从稳定生产能力拓展到与生态保护及战略协同的新趋势,构建了中国特色耕地保护制度谱系.未来,中国耕地保护政策需进一步细化"三位一体"保护体系实施细则,加大科技投入,推进与乡村振兴、生态修复融合,完善监督机制,关注新问题并借鉴国际经验.
Quantitative analysis elucidates the evolutionary patterns of land conservation policy changes,providing a scientific basis for the continuous refinement and standardization of policies.Taking 157 cultivated land protection policy documents issued in China from 1986 to 2024 as the research object,this paper identified 2-4 subject terms for each policy document,identified high-frequency subject terms through word frequency statistics to establish a co-word matrix,and conducts cluster analysis with SPSS 21.0 to explore the temporal evolution of policy focuses.The results showed that:China's cultivated land protection policies had gone through four sta-ges:the quantity control-dominated period,the period of strict quantity control and quality germination,the period of equal emphasis on quantity and quality institutionalization,and the three-in-one deepening period.The quantity control-dominated stage initially es-tablished a legal framework,focusing on curbing cultivated land loss.The stage of strict quantity control and quality germination shifted the policy focus to"quantity protection+land use regulation".The period of equal emphasis on quantity and quality institutionalization transformed from"quantity protection"to the dual protection of"quantity+quality".The three-in-one deepening period moved to-ward the three-in-one protection of"quantity,quality,and ecology",and the policy system became more mature.Co-word analysis and cluster analysis effectively revealed the trajectory of policy changes and their driving logic.Policy focus areas differed across stages and had gradually become more diversified,evolving from single quantity control to multi-dimensional collaborative governance.Fur-thermore,they revealed a new trend of expanding from stabilizing production capacity to integrating with ecological protection and strate-gic coordination,thus establishing a cultivated land protection system with China's characteristics.In the future,China's cultivated land protection policies need to further refine the implementation rules of the"three-in-one"protection system,increase investment in science and technology,promote integration with rural revitalization and ecological restoration,improve supervision mechanisms,pay at-tention to new issues,and draw on international experience.
杜莲;任海利
贵州大学公共管理学院,贵州贵阳 550025贵州大学公共管理学院,贵州贵阳 550025
管理科学
耕地保护政策政策演变共词分析聚类分析量化分析
cultivated land protection policypolicy evolutionco-occurrence analysiscluster analysisquantitative analysis
《资源开发与市场》 2026 (6)
810-824,15
贵州大学人文社科研究一般项目(编号:GDYB2022023).
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