首页|期刊导航|中外医学研究|甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数对重症监护室急性心力衰竭患者院内死亡率的预测价值

甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数对重症监护室急性心力衰竭患者院内死亡率的预测价值OA

Predictive Value of Triglyceride-glucose Index for In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Acute Heart Failure in Intensive Care Unit

中文摘要英文摘要

目的:探讨甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数(TyG)对重症监护室(ICU)内急性心力衰竭(AHF)患者院内死亡的相关性及其预测价值.方法:采用回顾性队列研究设计,从MIMIC-Ⅳ数据库中提取 2008-2019 年符合纳排标准的 2 014 例AHF患者的临床数据,根据TyG中位数将患者分为低TyG组(TyG<9.28)和高TyG组(TyG≥9.28),每组各 1 007 例.比较两组临床资料,采用单因素及多因素logistic回归分析TyG与院内死亡的关系,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,评估预测价值.结果:与低TyG组比较,高TyG组心率、白细胞计数、血肌酐、血糖、甘油三酯、糖尿病患病率、住院时长及院内死亡率均较高,年龄较低,以上差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05).多因素logistic回归分析显示,在校正年龄、性别、心率、平均动脉压、白细胞计数、血小板计数、血红蛋白、血肌酐、糖尿病、高血压、脑血管疾病、肝功能异常及慢性肾脏病后,TyG升高仍与院内死亡风险增加独立相关:TyG作为连续变量时,OR=1.26(95%CI:1.08~1.48,P=0.004);作为分类变量时,高TyG组院内死亡风险高于低TyG组,OR=1.41(95%CI:1.08~1.83,P=0.011).ROC曲线分析显示,TyG预测ICU内AHF患者院内死亡的曲线下面积为 0.701(95%CI:0.665~0.737).结论:TyG升高与ICU内AHF患者院内死亡风险增加独立相关,并具有一定的预测价值,可作为此类患者早期风险识别与分层的辅助指标.

Objective:To investigate the association between the triglyceride-glucose(TyG)index and in-hospital mortality among patients with acute heart failure(AHF)admitted to the Intensive Care Unit(ICU),and to evaluate its prognostic value.Method:This retrospective cohort study included 2014 eligible patients with AHF identified from the MIMIC-Ⅳ database from 2008 to 2019.Patients were divided into a low-TyG group(TyG<9.28)and a high-TyG group(TyG≥9.28)according to the median TyG value,with 1 007 patients in each group.Clinical characteristics were compared between the two groups.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to examine the association between TyG and in-hospital mortality.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was used to assess the predictive performance of TyG.Result:Compared with the low-TyG group,patients in the high-TyG group were younger and had higher heart rate,white blood cell count,serum creatinine,blood glucose,triglyceride levels,prevalence of diabetes,longer hospital stay,and higher in-hospital mortality(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that,after adjustment for age,sex,heart rate,mean arterial pressure,white blood cell count,platelet count,hemoglobin,serum creatinine,diabetes,hypertension,cerebrovascular disease,liver dysfunction,and chronic kidney disease,elevated TyG remained independently associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality.When analyzed as a continuous variable,the odds ratio(OR)was 1.26(95%CI:1.08~1.48,P=0.004).When analyzed as a categorical variable,the high-TyG group had a significantly higher risk of in-hospital mortality than the low-TyG group(OR=1.41,95%CI:1.08~1.83,P=0.011).ROC analysis showed that the area under the curve(AUC)of TyG for predicting in-hospital mortality in ICU patients with AHF was 0.701(95%CI:0.665~0.737).Conclusion:Elevated TyG was independently associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality in ICU patients with AHF and showed modest prognostic value.TyG may serve as a simple and readily available marker for early risk stratification in this population.

陈少军;韦冬梅

广西中医药大学 广西 南宁 530001广西中医药大学第三附属医院

急性心力衰竭甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数院内死亡率预测价值

Acute heart failureTriglyceride-glucose indexIn-hospital mortalityPredictive value

《中外医学研究》 2026 (13)

45-49,5

柳州市科技计划项目(2022CAC0216)

10.14033/j.cnki.cfmr.2026.13.010

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