首页|期刊导航|现代妇产科进展|基于孕期建档血液指标的妊娠期糖尿病风险联合预测模型构建及卫生管理应用探讨

基于孕期建档血液指标的妊娠期糖尿病风险联合预测模型构建及卫生管理应用探讨OA

Development of a risk prediction model for gestational diabetes mellitus based on routine blood parameters at prenatal registration and its application in health management serv-ices

中文摘要英文摘要

目的:利用早孕建档的常规血液检测指标,构建妊娠期糖尿病(GDM)风险联合预测模型,并探讨其在孕产妇卫生管理中的应用价值.方法:以在淄博市妇幼保健院建档的孕妇为研究对象,收集并计算相关血液指标,包括炎症指数(NLR、SII)、血脂及肝脏指标等.采用单因素分析和多因素逻辑回归分析筛选与 GDM 相关的指标,构建联合预测模型,并评估其预测效能.结果:所构建的联合预测模型具有较高的预测效能,纳入变量包括炎症指数(NLR、SII)、年龄、孕前 BMI、空腹血糖、碱性磷酸酶及甘油三酯.模型的 ROC 曲线下面积为0.734,灵敏度和特异度分别为71%和65%.结论:本研究成功构建了联合预测模型,为 GDM 的早期筛查和孕产妇卫生管理服务提供了新的思路和方法.

Objective:To develop a risk prediction model for gestational diabetes melli-tus(GDM)using routine blood parameters collected during early pregnancy registration and to explore its application in health management services.Methods:Data were obtained from preg-nant women who registered at the Zibo Maternal and Child Health Hospital.Relevant blood pa-rameters,including inflammation indices[e.g.,neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR)and sys-temic immune inflammation index(SII)],lipid profiles,and liver function indicators,were col-lected and calculated.Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify significant predictors and construct a combined prediction model.The model's predic-tive performance was subsequently validated.Results:The combined prediction model demon-strated strong predictive efficacy,incorporating variables such as inflammation indices(NLR and SII),age,pre-pregnancy BMI,fasting blood glucose,alkaline phosphatase,and triglycerides.The area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve reached 0.734,with a sensitivity of 71%and specificity of 65%.Conclusion:This study successfully developed a combined pre-diction model,providing a novel approach and methodology for early GDM screening and mater-nal health management services.

张璟;刘梦婷;潘娜;杨淑颖;于迎春;宋海波

淄博市妇幼保健院 转化医学中心,淄博 255000淄博市妇幼保健院 产科,淄博 255000淄博市妇幼保健院 转化医学中心,淄博 255000淄博市妇幼保健院 转化医学中心,淄博 255000淄博市妇幼保健院 产科,淄博 255000淄博市妇幼保健院 转化医学中心,淄博 255000

医药卫生

妊娠期糖尿病建档血液指标炎症指数风险预测模型卫生管理服务

Gestational diabetes mellitusRoutine blood parametersInflammation in-dicesRisk prediction modelHealth management services

《现代妇产科进展》 2026 (6)

429-433,5

山东省自然科学基金青年基金(No:ZR2022QH376)山东省医药卫生科技项目(No:202105020217)

10.13283/j.cnki.xdfckjz.2026.06.006

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