首页|期刊导航|三峡大学学报(自然科学版)|基于IWOA-BiLSTM的高拱坝测点群变形预测时空模型

基于IWOA-BiLSTM的高拱坝测点群变形预测时空模型OA

IWOA-BiLSTM-Based Deformation Prediction Method for Observation Point Group of In-Service High Arch Dam

中文摘要英文摘要

针对时空模型应用于高拱坝测点群变形预测的不足,结合局部线性嵌入法(locally linear em-bedding,LLE)、双向长短期记忆网络(bidirectional long short-term memory network,BiLSTM)和鲸鱼优化算法(whale optimization algorithm,WOA),提出一种新的基于时空模型的测点群变形预测方法.采用LLE对时空模型进行因子降维,构建BiLSTM输入-输出关系;引入非线性收敛因子、自适应权重、高斯变异扰动及Tent混沌扰动策略,对WOA进行改进;依据改进的WOA(improved WOA,IWOA)优化BiLSTM的超参数,建立高拱坝测点群变形预测时空模型;依据工程实例,检验模型性能.结果表明:IWOA比WOA的寻优能力更强,性能更稳定,收敛速度更快;IWOA-BiLSTM在变形预测时的复相关系数为0.989 1,剩余标准差为0.789 1,性能优于WOA-BiLSTM、BiLSTM和时空模型.

In view of the limits of the spatiotemporal model in the deformation prediction of the observation point groups of high arch dam,a novel method for the deformation prediction of observation point group is proposed by combining locally linear embedding(LLE),bidirectional long short-term memory network(BiLSTM),and whale optimization algorithm(WOA).LLE is used for factor dimension reduction,and the input-output relationship of BiLSTM is established.WOA is improved by introducing a nonlinear convergence factor,adaptive weights,Gaussian mutation disturbance,and Tent chaotic disturbance,so as to optimize the hyperparameters of BiLSTM.Subsequently,IWOA-BiLSTM-based deformation prediction model of observation point group is established.A case study is conducted to validate the proposed methodology.The results indicate that:Compared with WOA,the optimization ability,calculation stability,and convergence speed of IWOA are better.The multiple correlation coefficient and residual standard deviation of IWOA-BiLSTM in deformation prediction are 0.989 1 and 0.789 1,respectively,showing the best performance compared with WOA-BiLSTM,BiLSTM,and spatiotemporal model.

杨光;黄嘉辉;赵阿辉;王琳;杨浩宇;贺习恒

华北水利水电大学 水利学院,郑州 450046||水灾害防御全国重点实验室,南京 210098华北水利水电大学 水利学院,郑州 450046中国三峡建工(集团)有限公司,成都 610095华北水利水电大学 水利学院,郑州 450046华北水利水电大学 水利学院,郑州 450046华北水利水电大学 水利学院,郑州 450046

建筑与水利

测点群因子降维双向长短期记忆网络鲸鱼优化算法变形预测

observation point groupfactor dimension reductionbidirectional long short-term memory networkwhale optimization algorithmdeformation prediction

《三峡大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026 (4)

17-24,8

国家自然科学基金项目(52109155,42401319)河南省自然科学基金面上项目(262300420052)河南省重点研发与推广专项项目(262102320049)水灾害防御全国重点实验室开放基金项目(2024491911)河南省研究生教育改革与质量提升工程项目(YJS2026ALPY01)华北水利水电大学学科建设与发展研究项目(培育项目23)

10.13393/j.cnki.issn.1672-948X.2026.04.003

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