不同机器学习模型和输入变量的崩岗易发性评价适宜性研究OA
Study on the Suitability of Different Machine Learning Models and Input Variables for Benggang Susceptibility Assessment
[目的]为探究不同机器学习模型和输入变量对崩岗易发性评价的适宜性.[方法]以江西省石城县为研究区,通过地理探测器(GD)筛选构建指标体系,分别将原始值、频率比(FR)和邻域频率比(NFR)作为输入变量,对比多层感知机(MLP)和随机森林(RF)模型,开展不同评价模型与输入变量的适宜性研究.[结果]1)NFR输入变量下MLP模型、RF模型易发性结果的AUC分别为0.854、0.860,评估精度均良好,NFR是适宜的输入变量;2)RF模型整体优于MLP模型,其中原始值-RF、NFR值-RF和FR值-RF模型的高易发区崩岗密度分别为3.93、3.83和3.69,原始值-RF对极高、高易发区识别能力最强;3)极高易发区内的崩岗密度最大,高易发区、极高易发区集中于西北部,与实际崩岗分布格局吻合较好.[结论]NFR是一种普适性较强的输入变量,与原始值和FR相比,NFR在MLP和RF模型中的稳健性最高.RF模型比MLP模型更适宜开展崩岗易发性评价.
[Objective]To investigate the suitability of different machine learning models and input variables for assessing collapsing gully susceptibility.[Methods]Taking Shicheng County,Jiangxi Province as the study area,an indicator system was constructed using geodetector(GD)for factor screening.The original values,frequency ratio(FR),and neighborhood frequency ratio(NFR)were used as input variables for the multilayer perceptron(MLP)and random forest(RF)models.The adaptability of these different models and input variables for Benggang susceptibility assessment was studied.[Results]1)The AUC values of susceptibility assessment results from MLP and RF models under the NFR input variables were 0.854 and 0.860,respectively.Both models demonstrated good assessment performance,indicating that NFR was a suitable input variable.2)The RF model generally outperformed the MLP model.Specifically,the Benggang densities in high susceptibility areas of original value-RF,NFR-RF,and FR-RF models were 3.93,3.83,and 3.69,respectively.The original value-RF model demonstrated the strongest capability in identifying extremely high and high susceptibility areas.3)The Benggang density was highest in the extremely high susceptibility area.Both high and extremely high susceptibility areas were concentrated in the northwest,closely matching the actual distribution pattern of Benggang.[Conclusion]NFR is a highly generalizable input variable.Compared with original values and FR,NFR exhibits the highest robustness in both MLP and RF models.The RF model is more suitable than the MLP model for assessing Benggang susceptibility.
郭飞;黄皋羽;赖鹏;杨亚会;刘琦良;黄涛;程冬兵;陈勇
三峡库区地质灾害教育部重点实验室,湖北宜昌 443002||三峡大学土木与建筑学院,湖北宜昌 443002三峡库区地质灾害教育部重点实验室,湖北宜昌 443002||三峡大学土木与建筑学院,湖北宜昌 443002三峡库区地质灾害教育部重点实验室,湖北宜昌 443002||三峡大学土木与建筑学院,湖北宜昌 443002三峡大学水利与环境学院,湖北宜昌 443002湖北文理学院理工学院,湖北襄阳 441025湖北工程学院新技术学院,湖北孝感 432000长江水利委员会汉江流域治理保护中心,武汉 430010三峡库区地质灾害教育部重点实验室,湖北宜昌 443002||三峡大学土木与建筑学院,湖北宜昌 443002
天文与地球科学
频率比值邻域频率比值随机森林多层感知机崩岗易发性
frequency rationeighborhood frequency ratiorandom forestmultilayer perceptronBenggang susceptibility
《水土保持学报》 2026 (3)
47-57,11
国家自然科学基金项目(42107489)
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