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数字金融对实体经济发展的影响效应及作用机制OACHSSCD

Impact Effect and Action Mechanism of Digital Finance on the Development of the Real Economy

中文摘要英文摘要

数字金融为服务实体经济、推动制造业转型升级提供了新的实现路径.文章以2014-2024年我国长三角与川渝地区30个地级及以上城市的制造业面板数据为样本,立足数字经济加快发展和区域协调推进的现实背景,系统考察数字金融对实体经济发展的作用机制及空间效应,以期为促进二者协调发展提供实证支持与经验证据.研究发现:数字金融能够显著促进实体经济发展,且该结论在经过多种内生性和稳健性检验后依然成立.分维度看,使用深度和数字化程度对实体经济发展的促进作用显著,而覆盖广度的影响不显著.中介效应检验结果表明,数字金融可通过降低金融风险、提升人力资本水平和促进绿色创新推动实体经济发展.空间效应检验结果表明,数字金融对实体经济发展的影响能够通过空间溢出效应向周边地区扩散,影响周边地区的实体经济发展.

Digital finance provides a new realization path for serving the real economy and promoting the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry.This paper takes the manufacturing panel data of 30 prefecture-level and above cities in the Yangtze River Delta and Sichuan-Chongqing regions of China from 2014 to 2024 as samples,and based on the realistic back-ground of the accelerated development of the digital economy and coordinated regional advancement,systematically examines the action mechanism and spatial effect of digital finance on the development of the real economy,with the aim of providing empirical support and empirical evidence for promoting the coordinated development of the two.The research results find that digital finance can significantly promote the development of the real economy,and this conclusion still holds after various endogeneity and ro-bustness tests.From a multi-dimensional perspective,the depth of use and the degree of digitization finance have significant pro-moting effects on the development of the real economy,while the effect of coverage breadth is not significant.The results of the me-diation effect test results show that digital finance can promote the development of the real economy by reducing financial risks,improving the level of human capital and promoting green innovation.The results of the spatial effect test show that the impact of digital finance on the development of the real economy can spread to surrounding regions through the spatial spillover effect and affect the development of the real economy in surrounding regions.

李勇;李楠;王燕

成都信息工程大学 统计学院,成都 610103||江西财经大学 统计与数据科学学院,南昌 330013成都信息工程大学 统计学院,成都 610103成都信息工程大学 统计学院,成都 610103

管理科学

数字金融实体经济发展制造业空间溢出效应

digital financedevelopment of the real economymanufacturing industryspatial spillover effect

《统计与决策》 2026 (12)

129-135,7

国家社会科学基金重大项目(21&ZD153)贵州省哲学社会科学规划课题(24GZYB04)

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2026.12.021

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