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安徽省农业机械化对农民增收贡献率实证分析OA

Empirical Analysis on the Contribution Rate of Agricultural Mechanization to Farmers' Income Increase in Anhui Province

中文摘要英文摘要

为探究农业机械化对农民增收的影响,基于 2000-2023 年安徽省的相关数据,采用灰色关联分析与柯布-道格拉斯生产函数模型,测算农业机械化对农民增收的关联值与贡献率.结果表明:农村居民实际人均可支配收入与农林牧渔业总产值、农业机械总动力的关联值较高;农业机械总动力、有效灌溉面积与粮食作物产量均对农民增收具有促进作用,农药使用量具有抑制作用;2000-2023 年安徽省农业机械化对农民增收的贡献率为21.490%;农业机械化对农民增收的促进作用呈现"南强北弱"的差异特征.基于以上研究结果,应因地制宜规划智能农机供给、加大智能农机人才培育力度、科学规划农机补贴政策、加强区域协同,拓宽农民增收渠道.

To explore the impact of agricultural mechanization on farmers' income increase,based on relevant data from Anhui Province from 2000 to 2023,this study employs grey relational analysis and the Cobb-Douglas produc-tion function model to calculate the correlation value and contribution rate of agricultural mechanization to farmers'income increase.The results indicate that the actual per capita disposable income of rural residents has a high corre-lation value with the total output value of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry,and fishery,as well as the total power of agricultural machinery;total power of agricultural machinery,effective irrigation area,and grain crop yield all have a promoting effect on farmers' income increase,while pesticide usage has an inhibitory effect;from 2000 to 2023,the contribution rate of agricultural mechanization to farmers' income increase in Anhui Province was 21.490%;the promoting effect of agricultural mechanization on farmers' income increase exhibits a characteristic of being stronger in the south and weaker in the north.Based on the research results,it is necessary to tailor plans for the supply of intelligent agricultural machinery according to local conditions,strengthen the cultivation of talents for intelligent agricultural machinery,scientifically plan agricultural machinery subsidy policies,enhance regional col-laboration,and broaden channels for farmers' income increase.

关梦茹;张德化

安徽科技工程大学 经济与管理学院,安徽 蚌埠,233000安徽科技工程大学 马克思主义学院,安徽 蚌埠,233000

农业科技

农业机械化农民增收灰色关联分析柯布-道格拉斯生产函数模型

agricultural mechanizationfarmers' income increasegrey relational analysisCobb-Douglas production function model

《宿州学院学报》 2026 (4)

46-50,5

国家社会科学基金一般项目(19BKS007)安徽科技工程大学高原学科(XK-XJGY004).

10.3969/j.issn.1673-2006.2026.04.009

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