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农村产业融合对粮食生产的影响研究OA

Research on the Impact of Rural Industrial Integration on Food Production

中文摘要英文摘要

基于2010-2022 年中国省级面板数据,采用中介效应模型,选取粮食产量和播种面积为因变量表征粮食生产,以耕地资源、种粮意愿和农户收入水平为中介变量,研究农村产业融合对粮食生产的影响.结果表明,农村产业融合对粮食生产具有负向影响,但在农业服务业融合维度表现出正向的影响;中介效应结果显示,耕地资源、种粮意愿和农户收入水平为具体作用路径;异质性分析表明,在高融合水平地区和非粮食主产区负向影响显著,但在低融合水平地区和粮食主产区则呈现出正向影响.因此,需进一步强化正向效应,抑制负向冲击,进行路径协同优化,根据地区功能差异和产业融合水平进行精准分类施策.

Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2010 to 2022,this study adopts the mediating effect model,selects grain yield and sown area as dependent variables to characterize grain production,and takes cultiva-ted land resources,willingness to grow grain and farmers' income level as mediating variables to explore the impact of rural industrial integration on grain production.The results show that rural industrial integration exerts a negative impact on grain production,but demonstrates a positive effect in the dimension of integration with the agricultural service industry.The results of mediating effect reveal that cultivated land resources,willingness to grow grain and farmers' income level serve as the specific action paths.Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the negative impact is significant in regions with high integration level and non-major grain-producing areas,while a positive effect is ob-served in regions with low integration level and major grain-producing areas.Therefore,it is necessary to further strengthen the positive effect,curb the negative shock,conduct collaborative optimization of the paths,and imple-ment precision classified policies in light of the differences in regional functions and the level of industrial integra-tion.

李杰;张德元

安徽大学经济学院,安徽 合肥,230601安徽大学经济学院,安徽 合肥,230601

管理科学

农村产业融合粮食生产耕地资源种粮意愿农户收入水平

rural industrial integrationgrain productioncultivated land resourcesfarmers' willingness to grow grainfarmers' income level

《宿州学院学报》 2026 (4)

24-29,40,7

国家自然科学基金面上项目(72173001)教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(21YJA790012).

10.3969/j.issn.1673-2006.2026.04.005

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