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含硫页岩气管道膜层电阻-剩余寿命反演模型OA

Investigations on the inversion model of membrane resistance-residual life for sulphur-bearing shale gas pipelines

中文摘要英文摘要

针对川渝页岩气集输管线在 CO2-H2S-Cl--SRB多因子耦合环境下穿孔事故频发、传统时间-腐蚀模型预警滞后 6~9个月的难题,建立一种基于膜层电阻 R的剩余寿命实时反演模型.在某页岩气现场布设 82组 L245NS钢挂片,记录穿孔前R及实测穿孔时间,采用自编码器神经网络与箱线图法(IQR>1.5)联合识别 R异常值;采用 Parr 4575高压反应釜构建与现场等效的腐蚀环境,进行 1、4、7 d动态浸泡,利用失重法、原位 EIS、SEM-EDS获取腐蚀速率、R及形貌演变;对20组盲样进行预警准确率与误差分析.现场挂片数据表明,R随时间呈"缓降-平台-陡降"三段式下降;动态浸泡加速实验表明,腐蚀速率由 0.184 mm/a指数增至 0.863 mm/a;拟合剩余可操作时间得 tR=9.94e0.065R(R≤2.0 kΩ·cm2)及高阻区线性补偿公式.现场验证显示,MAPE=3.8%,最大误差 18.2%;以 R≤0.20 kΩ·cm2 触发红色预警,准确率 75.0%,误报率0%.最终建立了可工程部署的"R-剩余寿命"指数反演模型,为川渝页岩气集输管线"缓蚀剂+杀菌剂"联合应急提供了量化依据,也可推广至其他高含硫气田碳钢管道.

In order to address the 6-9 month lag in traditional time-corrosion model warnings and the frequent perforation accidents in Sichuan-Chongqing shale gas gathering and transmission pipelines in CO2-H2S-Cl--SRB multi factor coupling environment,a real-time residual life inversion model based on membrane resistance R was established.At a shale gas site,82 sets of L245NS steel hangers were engaged to note the measured perforation time and pre-perforation R.Following cleaning,R outliers were identified using autoencoder neural network combined with the box plot approach(IQR>1.5).A corrosion environment similar to the field conditions was created using a Parr 4575 high-pressure reactor and dynamic immersion was performed for 1,4,and 7 days.Corrosion rate,R,and morphological evolution were obtained using weight loss technique,in-situ EIS,and SEM-EDS.Early warning accuracy and error analysis were carried out on 20 blind samples.The data from field steel hangers indicate that R drops in a three-stage pattern over time"gradual decline-platform-steep decline"Dynamic immersion acceleration test show that the corrosion rate rose from 0.184 mm/a to 0.863 mm/a exponentially.The remaining operating time was fitted to yield tR=9.94e0.065R(R≤2.0 kΩ·cm2)with linear compensation for high-resistance zone.Verification on site show that MAPE is 3.8%and the greatest error is 18.2%.Setting off a red warning when R is no higher than 0.20 kΩ·cm2 produced an accuracy rate of 75.0%and a false alarm rate of 0%.Sichuan-Chongqing shale gas gathering and transportation pipeline has a quantitative basis for the joint emergency response of"corrosion inhibitor+bactericide"thanks to the development of an engineering deployable"R-remaining life"index inversion model.This model can also be extended carbon steel pipelines in other high sulphur gas fields.

吴学兵

中石化重庆页岩气有限公司,重庆 408400

能源科技

L245NS钢膜层电阻剩余寿命反演页岩气硫酸盐还原菌

L245NS steelmembrane resistanceresidual life inversionshale gassulfate-reducing bacteria

《石油钻采工艺》 2026 (3)

412-422,11

中国石化科技部项目"南川常压页岩气稳产关键技术研究"(编号:P25127).

10.13639/j.odpt.202509017

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