基于CEEMD-POA-BiLSTM的短期光伏功率预测OA
Short-term PV Power Prediction Based on CEEMD-POA-BiLSTM
随着可再生能源的快速发展,光伏发电作为其重要组成部分,准确的功率预测对保障电网稳定运行和能源管理具有重要意义.为了准确对光伏功率进行预测,解决电网调度问题,本文提出一种基于互补集合经验模态分解(CEEMD)、鹈鹕优化算法(POA)和长短期记忆神经网络(BiLSTM)的混合深度学习模型.首先,采用皮尔逊相关系数确定辐照度和组件温度作为模型输入.接着利用 CEEMD 对原始数据进行分解,以提取多尺度特征,在此基础上,引入 POA 算法对 BiLSTM 模型的初始学习率、隐藏层节点和正则化系数进行优化.最后,通过对比不同的分解算法试验验证所提出的 CEEMD-POA-BiLSTM 模型在短期光伏功率预测任务中表现优异,预测精度显著优于其他对比模型.
With the rapid development of renewable energy,the photovoltaic power generation,as an important component of renewable energy,its power prediction accuracy plays a significant role in the stable operation of power grids and energy management.To accurately predict photovoltaic power and solve power grid dispatching problems,a hybrid deep learning model combining Complementary Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition(CEEMD),Pelican Optimization Algorithm(POA),and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(BiLSTM)is proposed.Initially,the Pearson correlation coefficient is used to determine irradiance and module temperature as inputs.Then,the original data is decomposed using CEEMD to extract multi-scale features,and on this basis,the POA algorithm is introduced to optimize the initial learning rate,hidden layer nodes,and regularization coefficient of the BiLSTM model.Finally,the comparative experiments are conducted on different decomposition algorithms.The results show that the proposed CEEMD-POA-BiLSTM model excels in short-term photovoltaic power prediction tasks,achieving higher prediction accuracy compared to other models.
董伊浩;张杰;韩伟
河北民族师范学院物理与电子工程学院,河北 承德 067000承德应用技术职业学院,河北 承德 067000河北民族师范学院物理与电子工程学院,河北 承德 067000
信息技术与安全科学
光伏功率预测深度学习模型互补集合经验模态分解鹈鹕优化算法长短期记忆神经网络
photovoltaic power predictiondeep learning modelComplementary Ensemble Empirical Mode DecompositionPelican Optimization AlgorithmLong Short-Term Memory Neural Network
《水力发电》 2026 (7)
108-113,6
河北省创新能力提升计划项目(244C4301D)
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