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交通震荡传播与驾驶行为关系的仿真研究OA

Simulation study on the relationship between traffic shock propagation and driving behavior

中文摘要英文摘要

基于 SUMO 仿真平台构建混合交通流场景,通过参数化方法定义激进型、平稳型和保守型人类驾驶员及自适应巡航控制(ACC)车辆,生成大量突发事件及其影响范围的数据集.构建LightGBM 分类模型,以路段交通流参数以及后方车队中不同类型车辆的占比为输入特征,对突发事件的影响范围进行预测.采用 SHAP 方法揭示各特征对模型预测的贡献方式与内在机理,结果显示,后方车队中激进型驾驶员的比例是决定事件影响范围的最重要因素,ACC 车辆比例呈现出复杂的非线性效应,在某些条件下(特别是激进型驾驶员占比较高的情况下)反而会增加高影响事件的风险.研究表明,在混合交通流中,微观的驾驶行为构成(特别是车队中驾驶员的风险偏好分布)是决定交通流稳定性的首要因素.

A mixed traffic flow scenario was constructed using the SUMO simulation platform.Aggressive,stable,and conservative human drivers,along with adaptive cruise control(ACC)vehicles,were defined through a parameterized approach,by which a large dataset of unexpected events and their impact ranges was generated.A LightGBM classification model was then constructed,with road-segment traffic flow parameters and the proportion of different vehicle types in the platoon behind the incident used as input features to predict the impact range of unexpected events.The contribution of each feature to the model's predictions and the underlying mechanisms were revealed using the SHAP method.The results showed that the proportion of aggressive drivers in the following platoon was the most important factor in determining the impact range of an event.The proportion of ACC vehicles exhibited a complex nonlinear effect,and under certain conditions,particularly when the proportion of aggressive drivers was high,it was shown to actually increase the risk of high-impact events.These results confirm that in mixed traffic flows,the microscopic composition of driving behavior,particularly the distribution of risk preferences among drivers in the platoon,is the primary factor determining traffic flow stability.

高心仪;薛培友;熊晓夏;方凯瑞

安徽三联学院 智慧交通现代产业学院,安徽 合肥 230601安徽三联学院 智慧交通现代产业学院,安徽 合肥 230601江苏大学 汽车与交通工程学院,江苏 镇江 212013||安徽省普通高校交通信息与安全重点实验室,安徽 合肥 230601安徽三联学院 智慧交通现代产业学院,安徽 合肥 230601

交通工程

混合交通流交通波急减速机器学习LightGBMSHAP

mixed traffic flowtraffic wavesudden decelerationmachine learningLightGBM(Light Gradient Boosting Machine)SHAP(SHapley Additive exPlanations)

《山东理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026 (5)

1-8,8

安徽省普通高校交通信息与安全重点实验室开放课题资助项目(JTX202504)

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