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长江经济带农业新质生产力对农民增收的影响OA

The Impact of Agricultural New Quality Productive in the Yangtze River Economic Belt on Farmers'Income:An Empirical Analysis Based on CFPS Micro-Panel Household Data

中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]探究长江经济带农业新质生产力对农民增收的影响及作用机制.[方法]基于2012-2022年长江经济带农业新质生产力测度结果,结合中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,构建计量模型进行实证检验.[结果]①长江经济带农业新质生产力水平整体呈上升态势,空间上呈现"下游>中游>上游"格局.②长江经济带农业新质生产力显著促进了农民增收,其中农业劳动资料的作用最大,农业产业结构升级和区域市场一体化在其中发挥了中介作用.③长江经济带农业新质生产力及农业劳动者、劳动资料在前期对农民增收呈负向影响,后期转为正向;农业新质生产力及农业劳动资料、农业劳动对象对上游和下游区域农民增收有正向作用,对中游区域不显著;农业新质生产力及其不同维度对上游省份的农民增收促进作用强于中下游省份.[结论]应推进区域农业转型,强化科技创新,优化农业产业结构升级与区域市场一体化等作用机制,以充分释放农业新质生产力的增收潜力.

[Objective]This study examines the impact of agricultural new quality productive on farmers'income growth in the Yangtze River Economic Belt and explores the underlying mechanisms.[Method]Based on the measured results of agricultural new quality productivite in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2012 to 2022,this study combines data from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)and con-structs econometric models for empirical analysis.[Result]First,the level of agricultural new quality productive in the Yangtze River Economic Belt showed an overall upward trend,with a spatial pattern of"downstream>midstream>upstream."Second,agricultural new quality productive significantly pro-moted farmers'income growth,among which agricultural production materials of labor played the largest role;agricultural industrial structure upgrading and regional market integration were served as important mediating channels.Third,agricultural new quality productive,agricultural laborers,and agricultural production materials of labor had negative effects on farmers'income growth in the early stage but posi-tive effects in the later stage.Agricultural new quality productive forces,agricultural production materi-als of labor,and agricultural objects of labor had significant positive effects on farmers'income growth in the upstream and downstream areas,but their effects were insignificant in the midstream areas.More-over,the income-enhancing effects of agricultural new quality productive in different dimensions was stronger in the upstream provinces than in the midstream and downstream provinces.[Conclusion]Re-gional agricultural transformation should be advanced,technological innovation should be strengthened,and transmission mechanisms such as agricultural industrial structure upgrading and regional market inte-gration should be optimized,so as to fully unleash the income-enhancing potential of agricultural new quality productive.

郭鹏飞;陈航

重庆工商大学成渝地区双城经济圈建设研究院,重庆 400067||重庆工商大学经济学院,重庆 400067重庆工商大学成渝地区双城经济圈建设研究院,重庆 400067

管理科学

农业新质生产力农民增收农业产业结构升级区域市场一体化

agricultural new quality productive forcesfarmers' income growthagricultural industrial structure upgradingregional market integration

《四川农业大学学报》 2026 (3)

849-860,12

四川省社会科学院"成渝地区双城经济圈建设"专项重点项目(24ZACY06).

10.16036/j.issn.1000-2650.202511747

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