金沙江攀枝花河段梯级开发水温响应研究OA
Water temperature response to cascade development in Panzhihua Reach of Jinsha River
金沙江流域水电开发改变了河流水温节律,进而对水生生物栖息环境产生不利影响.为探讨金沙江攀枝花河段梯级开发背景下水温响应规律,基于攀枝花和三堆子水文站的水温数据,采用趋势检验、分段线性回归和断点回归等方法,分析了攀枝花河段水温的年际、年内及沿程变化趋势,重点评估了观音岩等梯级水库蓄水(简称观音岩蓄水)对坝下河段水温的影响.结果表明:① 近 50 年来攀枝花河段年均水温显著上升(P<0.05);2012 年后,河段水温沿程变化趋势发生显著转折,雅砻江汇口以上河段水温明显高于汇口以下河段.② 观音岩蓄水对坝下河段水温产生了显著影响(P<0.05),具体表现为,年内水温分布趋于坦化,秋冬季"滞热"效应明显,春夏季"滞冷"效应明显.雅砻江汇口以下河段水温的坦化程度大于汇口以上河段.研究成果可为生态调度及鱼类繁殖栖息生境的保护提供科学依据.
Hydropower development in the Jinsha River Basin has altered the natural thermal regime of the river,thereby ad-versely affecting the habitat of aquatic organisms.To investigate the water temperature response to cascade development in the Panzhihua Reach of the Jinsha River,water temperature data from the Panzhihua and Sanduizi hydrological stations were analyzed by trend tests,piecewise linear regression,and regression discontinuity design methods.The study examined the interannual,intra-annual,and longitudinal variations of water temperature in the Panzhihua Reach,with a focus on assessing the impact of im-poundment by the Guanyinyan Reservoir and other cascade reservoirs(referred to as Guanyinyan impoundment)on water temper-ature downstream of the dam.The results showed that:① Over the past 50 years,the mean annual water temperature in the Pan-zhihua Reach increased significantly(P<0.05).After2012,the longitudinal trend of water temperature exhibited a significant turning point,with water temperature upstream of the Yalong River confluence being significantly higher than that downstream of the confluence.② Guanyinyan impoundment exerted a significant impact on water temperature downstream of the dam(P<0.05).Specifically,the intra-annual distribution of water temperature tended to flatten,with a pronounced"heat retention effect"in autumn and winter and a pronounced"cold retention effect"in spring and summer.The degree of temperature flattening downstream of the Yalong River confluence was greater than that upstream of the confluence.These findings provide scientific ba-sis for ecological dispatching and the protection of fish breeding and habitat environments.
陈军;尹涛;唐亚松;刘颖;钱斌天;武文亮
中国电建集团昆明勘测设计研究院有限公司,云南 昆明 650053中国电建集团昆明勘测设计研究院有限公司,云南 昆明 650053中国电建集团昆明勘测设计研究院有限公司,云南 昆明 650053中国电建集团昆明勘测设计研究院有限公司,云南 昆明 650053中国电建集团昆明勘测设计研究院有限公司,云南 昆明 650053西北农林科技大学 信息工程学院,陕西 杨凌 712100
资源环境
水温Mann-Kendall趋势检验断点回归设计雅砻江汇口观音岩水库金沙江攀枝花河段
water temperatureMann-Kendall trend testregression discontinuity designYalong River-Jinsha River con-fluenceGuanyinyan ReservoirPanzhihua Reach of the Jinsha River
《人民长江》 2026 (6)
99-107,9
云南省科技人才与平台计划项目(202305AK340003)云南省重点研发计划项目(20223AA080010)中国电建集团昆明勘测设计研究院有限公司科技项目(KD-ZDYF2024-016)
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